I’d take this seriously if it were any pollster bar @YouGov partnering @cardiffuni politics. But if I am going to suspend reality for a moment - the Tory support will be decimated when / if Johnson fails to deliver Brexit, going back to BP. Worrying for Plaid Cymru thoughhttps://twitter.com/DeansOfCardiff/status/1184013829426110465 …
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It's time Cardiff Uni got a second opinion from a more respected pollster. Academics shouldn't be tied exclusively to a rogue source.
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I think that’s very true - I suspect Tory
@YouGov run these polls as loss leaders just to influence opinion for the Tories. I bet Shakespeare and Zahawi hate Peter Hitchens for calling out the strategy. Any thoughts@roger_scully ? Or is it just Labour supporting paranoia?pic.twitter.com/HuK7RJnia8
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Als antwoord op @KevinPascoe @YouGov en
I do my best to stick to facts whether they are nice or nasty. But yougov has become extremely off-piste. Academics should wonder why.
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Als antwoord op @ClarkeIanm @YouGov en
YouGov are an outlier, but to be fair I’ve been struggling with Opinium recently and haven’t spent the time to look at their research methods. I know to a very large extent we are all biased - and like the polls that suppport our views - but
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Als antwoord op @KevinPascoe @YouGov en
I've long taken view that diffs in methodology mean shouldn't cf. only look at trends. But now (esp yougov) they're varying the lead-in q's.
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Als antwoord op @ClarkeIanm @KevinPascoe en
This is known to skew results. It makes even trends opaque. We need tight regs on pollsters. And academics should lead, not follow.
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The need for statutory regulation political pollsters is vital, along statutory workforce regulation for professional pollsters to protect them from political / commercial pressures to skew methodology or results - and critically post data collection ‘adjustments’
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