Of the available drivers who could lead it. Only Hyundai appear able to sign Loeb (ie money and car availability) . Paddon is very similar to Elfyn in terms of performances, and surely Hyundai wouldn’t let him go. So who else is available of a caliber better than Elfyn? No one
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Als antwoord op @KevinPascoe @Warren_S_Nel en
Looking at the stats, the points scoring ability in the new generation cars is very similar between Evans, Paddon & Ostberg - all 7 pts per start. Elfyn the best in terms of podium finishes with 1 per 4 starts. So the facts say Evans is best as lead driver
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Als antwoord op @KevinPascoe @Warren_S_Nel en
Can't agree this time Kevin. Looking at the stats I can't imagine Evans leading at M-Sport. If the last year was a quite good one with D-Mack winning almost two rounds, this has been horrible. Always far from Ogier & being inconsistent. The graph say it everything:pic.twitter.com/5VGZpf97wQ
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Als antwoord op @RayanMotorsport @KevinPascoe en
"Point's comparasion between 2017 & 2018 - Drivers". With respect the last year, Elfyn has been who has lost more points. And Suninen the same, very poor results. They're young & they need a mate with experience to learn & improve. If this one doesn't come, M-Sport is in danger.
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Als antwoord op @RayanMotorsport @Warren_S_Nel en
Let me come back Rayan once I look at your data - I deliberately choose the two seasons in the new generation cars for the cyclical nature of performance for drivers outside of the ‘Golden Three’ (4?). Who appear immune to good / bad season cycle of the merely very good drivers
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Als antwoord op @KevinPascoe @Warren_S_Nel en
As I said Rayan I deliberately choose the two seasons in the new generation cars to reflect the cyclical nature of performance for effectively ‘Tier 2’ drivers outside of the ‘Golden Four’ who appear immune to good / bad season cycles 1 of 10
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Als antwoord op @KevinPascoe @Warren_S_Nel en
The chart you provided really doesn’t measure performance in any relevant way. Somebody who had a nightmare season in 2017 was bound to look brilliant in comparison in 2018 e.g. Mads & Hayden. Conversely those who performed well in 2017 are hammered for 2018 e.g. Elfyn 2 of 10
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Als antwoord op @KevinPascoe @Warren_S_Nel en
The chart effectively rewarded poor baseline performance. Equally the chart focused on points scored rather than points scored per full WRC start. My chart below shows the points per start scored across 2017/18 and individually in 2017 & 2018 3 of 10pic.twitter.com/xmtWpa0Wxh
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Als antwoord op @KevinPascoe @Warren_S_Nel en
In my view more importantly for a discussion around lead drivers is the podium success rate per start. My chart below shows Elfyn’s strengths as he had the highest podium hit rate of the uncontracted driver in 17/18. Despite operating as wingman for Ogier 4 of 10pic.twitter.com/yHhuBdb4Jb
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Als antwoord op @KevinPascoe @Warren_S_Nel en
If MSport do run a two car team the issue of finishing rates becomes critical, you cant have drivers who drive like lunatics and crash. The chart shows Mads and Elfyn are neck and neck here. Many of the other drivers fortunes fluctuate massively season on season 5 of 10pic.twitter.com/Xe6NmbfQok
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In conclusion there are only four non-contracted Tier 2 drivers – Elfyn Evans, Hayden Paddon, Mads Ostberg and Craig Breen. Of those Elfyn and Hayden are broadly on a par in terms of points/start, podium rates / start but Elfyn having a superior finish rate 6 of 10
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Als antwoord op @KevinPascoe @Warren_S_Nel en
Craig doesn’t really compare on any measure with the other three drivers – but will sometime in the future 7 of 10
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Als antwoord op @KevinPascoe @Warren_S_Nel en
Mads stats aren’t outstanding with 1 win from 119 WRC starts, Elfyn has 77 WRC starts and Hayden 79 starts for both their wins in GB and Argentina respectively. Mads last full season at MSport was lacklustre 8 of 10
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