Kevin Anderson

@KevinClimate

Professor of energy and climate change - interested in translating the science of climate change into carbon budgets, policy goals and mitigation options.

Uppsala & Manchester
Vrijeme pridruživanja: rujan 2012.

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    7. stu 2019.
    Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    So, in summary(?): Likely chance of 2°C = urgent &rapid mitigation delivering global zero CO2 by 2040, passing thro 1.5°C in 2030ish. Slim chance of returning to 1.5°C, do all above & hope major R&D+ deployment of NETs works. Likely fail on Paris=BAU mitigation +rely on NETs.

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  2. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    3. velj
    Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    . aviation experts are Worth noting we estimate pathway for aviation consumes ~40% of the UK’s fair Paris-compliant carbon budget; a single sector that serves primarily a relative few frequent fliers.

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  3. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    29. tra 2019.
    Odgovor korisnicima

    Put simply aggregate OECD nations need 10-15% mitigation starting now & delivering zero CO2 energy by ~2035-40, with aggregate non-OECD peaking by early-mid 2020s & reaching zero-CO2 by early 2050s. This gives Paris budgets broadly in line with IPCC 1.5-2°C headline values.

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  4. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    31. sij
    Odgovor korisnicima

    Very important point. That's what's really bothered me in the whole 8.5 debacle - the complete asymmetry of it. Energy modellers loudly proclaiming increased intensity of coal impossible while assuming near miraculous deployment rates of negative emissions.

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  5. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    31. sij
    Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    What worries me is scientists that attempt 'propaganda' because the people outside cannot realy be trusted to understand. Hurray for ! Science (and all society) needs open discussion and transparency. Not a climate version of FoxNews 'branding'.

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  6. 31. sij

    A helpful thread for those interested in IPCC scenarios - particularly the addendum tweets.

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  7. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij
    Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    There’s also the problem of stranded assets, indicated by the fact that more aircraft are being delivered today than can be absorbed under a reasonable carbon budget.

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  8. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij
    Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    Aviation's responsibility is it's cumulative emissions, not just net zero end goal. So demand/efficiency are just as important as zero-C tech. Please can your work have this frame: tech as one solution of many, not a silver bullet.

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  9. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij

    That mirrors my experience, . With a number of groups within .

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  10. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij
    Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    Would it sell better if we called it "Social Innovation" rather than "Behaviour Change"?

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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    Thanks to all who attended for the questions & engagement; it is uplifting to see how XR, the youth movements etc have fundamentally changed the tenor of the debate from incremental tweaks to business as usual to something more inline with our Paris commitments.

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  12. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    Engaging with experts like yourself has given me the confidence to explain my lifestyle / political choices to others with scientific reasoning that is easy to understand and hard to refuse.

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  13. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij
    Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    In isolation I don’t think “consumers' individual choices” exist - & nor, again in isolation, do regulations, social norms, etc. These are all interdependent facets of system change. Separating them out risks cementing a false dichotomy, touched on in

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  14. 30. sij

    Third lesson from Prof Schultz @eloquentseminar attached. Attributing many extreme events to climate change is subject to key caveats (also attached).

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  15. 30. sij

    Attached is 2nd lesson from Prof Schultz seminar on climate change & extreme weather. Key issue here is a changing climate is acting on a changing human (& ‘natural’) landscape.

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  16. 30. sij

    David Schultz uses data on tornados to illustrate the importance of developing robust data & being careful to understand it correctly. Lesson 1 attached.

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  17. 30. sij

    Clear & measured seminar by Prof David Schultz on understanding & communicating effects of climate change on extreme weather. Interesting slide of increasing blocking events over time across all regions analysed. An issue of ongoing discussion in the literature.

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  18. 30. sij
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  19. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij
    Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    thank you, I try. To be inclusive, I also push for everyone to have access to an Earth systems education. Capra, Orr and others have made huge contributions to developing the pedagogy, age appropriate. If all really understood the big picture, even basics.

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  20. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij

    Please, if you’re a , get a cuppa & watch telling it how it actually is on our . Then check what you’re using. If it contains the fossil fuel peat, then it’s part of the problem. Use a quality mix instead.

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  21. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij
    Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    Agree on emergence. 'correct system properties' wasn't a good term there—alternative maybe eg <climate-relevant decision-making processes>? Urgent q also bc emergent properties cut both ways; we focus too much on politically desirable q rather than on realist analysis of IR. 3/2

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