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Prikvačeni tweet
So, in summary(?): Likely chance of 2°C = urgent &rapid mitigation delivering global zero CO2 by 2040, passing thro 1.5°C in 2030ish. Slim chance of returning to 1.5°C, do all above & hope major R&D+ deployment of NETs works. Likely fail on Paris=BAU mitigation +rely on NETs.
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Kevin Anderson proslijedio/la je Tweet
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@TyndallManc aviation experts are@jf_broderick@simonbullock@AliceClimate@Rudra_climate Worth noting we estimate@theCCCuk pathway for aviation consumes ~40% of the UK’s fair Paris-compliant carbon budget; a single sector that serves primarily a relative few frequent fliers.Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Kevin Anderson proslijedio/la je Tweet
Put simply aggregate OECD nations need 10-15% mitigation starting now & delivering zero CO2 energy by ~2035-40, with aggregate non-OECD peaking by early-mid 2020s & reaching zero-CO2 by early 2050s. This gives Paris budgets broadly in line with IPCC 1.5-2°C headline values.
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Kevin Anderson proslijedio/la je Tweet
Very important point. That's what's really bothered me in the whole 8.5 debacle - the complete asymmetry of it. Energy modellers loudly proclaiming increased intensity of coal impossible while assuming near miraculous deployment rates of negative emissions.
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Kevin Anderson proslijedio/la je Tweet
What worries me is scientists that attempt 'propaganda' because the people outside cannot realy be trusted to understand. Hurray for
@Peters_Glen! Science (and all society) needs open discussion and transparency. Not a climate version of FoxNews 'branding'.Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
A helpful thread for those interested in IPCC scenarios - particularly the addendum tweets.https://twitter.com/hausfath/status/1222581640058114048 …
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Kevin Anderson proslijedio/la je Tweet
There’s also the problem of stranded assets, indicated by the fact that more aircraft are being delivered today than can be absorbed under a reasonable carbon budget.https://twitter.com/rutherdan/status/1215442108506488832?s=20 …
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Kevin Anderson proslijedio/la je Tweet
Aviation's responsibility is it's cumulative emissions, not just net zero end goal. So demand/efficiency are just as important as zero-C tech. Please can your work have this frame: tech as one solution of many, not a silver bullet.
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Kevin Anderson proslijedio/la je Tweet
That mirrors my experience,
@KevinClimate. With a number of groups within#XR.https://twitter.com/KevinClimate/status/1222802076704608256 …Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Kevin Anderson proslijedio/la je Tweet
Would it sell better if we called it "Social Innovation" rather than "Behaviour Change"?
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Kevin Anderson proslijedio/la je Tweet
Thanks to all who attended for the questions & engagement; it is uplifting to see how XR, the youth movements etc have fundamentally changed the tenor of the debate from incremental tweaks to business as usual to something more inline with our Paris commitments.
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Kevin Anderson proslijedio/la je Tweet
Engaging with experts like yourself has given me the confidence to explain my lifestyle / political choices to others with scientific reasoning that is easy to understand and hard to refuse.
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Kevin Anderson proslijedio/la je Tweet
In isolation I don’t think “consumers' individual choices” exist - & nor, again in isolation, do regulations, social norms, etc. These are all interdependent facets of system change. Separating them out risks cementing a false dichotomy, touched on in https://kevinanderson.info/blog/a-succinct-account-of-my-view-on-individual-and-collective-action/ …
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Third lesson from Prof Schultz @eloquentseminar attached. Attributing many extreme events to climate change is subject to key caveats (also attached).
@TyndallManc@UoM_MACEpic.twitter.com/isg5zhTECD
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Attached is 2nd lesson from Prof Schultz
@EloquentScience seminar on climate change & extreme weather. Key issue here is a changing climate is acting on a changing human (& ‘natural’) landscape.@TyndallManc@UoM_MACEpic.twitter.com/JTdiZEKGSz
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David Schultz
@EloquentScience uses data on tornados to illustrate the importance of developing robust data & being careful to understand it correctly. Lesson 1 attached.@TyndallManc@UoM_MACEpic.twitter.com/Me6kMkvDSb
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Clear & measured seminar by Prof David Schultz
@EloquentScience on understanding & communicating effects of climate change on extreme weather. Interesting slide of increasing blocking events over time across all regions analysed. An issue of ongoing discussion in the literature.pic.twitter.com/jStwAQuEFO
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Kevin Anderson proslijedio/la je Tweet
thank you, I try. To be inclusive, I also push for everyone to have access to an Earth systems education. http://Ecoliteracy.org Capra, Orr and others have made huge contributions to developing the pedagogy, age appropriate. If all really understood the big picture, even basics.
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Kevin Anderson proslijedio/la je Tweet
Please, if you’re a
#gardener, get a cuppa & watch@KevinClimate telling it how it actually is on our#ClimateEmergency. Then check what#compost you’re using. If it contains the fossil fuel peat, then it’s part of the problem. Use a quality#peatfree mix instead.#gardeninghttps://twitter.com/XRebellionUK/status/1222797968488771586 …
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Kevin Anderson proslijedio/la je Tweet
Agree on emergence. 'correct system properties' wasn't a good term there—alternative maybe eg <climate-relevant decision-making processes>? Urgent q also bc emergent properties cut both ways; we focus too much on politically desirable q rather than on realist analysis of IR. 3/2
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