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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
Climate: energy transition, targets, fossil industry - I write, analyse, consult and tweet about it, views are my own
Oslo, Norway (via Australia)ketanjoshi.coJoined November 2011
9,381 Following
62K Followers

Ketan Joshi’s Tweets

Ketan Joshi Retweeted
Tim Baxter
@timinclimate
Other stationary energy - the burning of fossil fuels for other purpose other than either grid-provided electricity or transport - also increased. The COVID downturn here was very mild - largely because our fossil fuel producers - who dominate this sector - never really stopped.
Chart from Opennem showing emissions over time from Australia's other stationary energy sector. Annual change between year to March 2021 and year to March 2022 is +3.6 million tonnes (+3.9%) for a total of 102 million tonnes.
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
this is a top thread from Tim showing that as Aus slowly reduced covid restrictions earlier this year, the old pattern of somewhat-growing renewables reduced emissions, but ever-expanding coal and gas mining, and transport, increased it just as much
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Tim Baxter
@timinclimate
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The latest quarterly greenhouse gas emissions came out today. We have added both the official March quarter emissions and the preliminary June quarter figures to @OpenNem's emissions portal. You can interactively view it at opennem.org.au/emissions/au/? This is what the data show. 🧵
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
Sorry But No No Im Sorry GIF
GIF
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ABC News
@abcnews
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Does carbon capture and storage mean Australia can keep burning fossil fuels? abc.net.au/news/2022-09-0
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Ketan Joshi Retweeted
Kara Schlegl
@karaschlegl
It's incredible to me that there are ppl who really think giving grace to those who platform bigotry will magically solve the problem. This take is so naive, it would almost be adorable if it wasn't so dangerous. Maybe give some of that grace to the ppl fighting bigotry instead.
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Carrick Ryan
@realCarrickRyan
·
Longer form thoughts on how to combat the views of someone like Price. (Click to enlarge)
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Ketan Joshi Retweeted
anjali sharma
@anjsharmaaa
the Pakistan floods are a perfect illustration of the global south paying the price for our climate inaction. an utter climate catastrophe has displaced 33 million while fossil fuel companies are in the ears of politicians negotiating approvals for their climate wrecking projects
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Ketan Joshi Retweeted
cammyboo AO
@cameronwilson
Terrifying to consider that Andrew Twiggy Forrest might know about “Pickle Rick”
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Fortescue Future Industries
@FortescueFuture
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Green hydrogen won’t just help fight #ClimageChange, but also…. giant space worms?!? While Rick Sanchez will use green hydrogen to tackle the greatest threat to his world, #Wormageddon – we’ll use it to tackle the greatest threat to ours, fossil fuels. ffi.link/3cxhN0W
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Ketan Joshi Retweeted
STEMLORD
@upulie
Another week, another mediocre white man whinging about being “cancelled” in his syndicated newspaper column, tv show and radio show. Wailing that women of any colour and minorities get the chance to be astronauts and go to moon as is they have taken his place.
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
Finally, I just saw while getting the data that wind and solar together generated more than gas in all of Aus' power generation in 2020-21, so just wanted to post this know that it would specifically enrage
@AngusTaylorMP
. Enjoy this chart, Angus :)
as per tweet text
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
Anyway, when it comes out, hopefully they keep data consistency. And of course I'll update my little hobby files when it does come out for all of our collective enjoyment, lol
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
Generally, Labor is pro-renewable but not anti-coal or anti-gas. And there have been several critiques of their policy suite being insufficient to even reach their own insufficient target of 43% (weakened pre-election from their 2015-era target of 45%).
theconversation.com
The ultra-polluting Scarborough-Pluto gas project could blow through Labor’s climate target – and...
We calculate that this project will add about 41 megatonnes per year to Australia’s national emissions from around 2030.
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
What this raises, of course, is what's going to happen with the new projection reports under the new gov't. In both the hard math of the models, but also the culture, philosophies and attitudes of the people who write the report and how it ties in with the feelings of ministers
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
In the end, it didn't actually matter: they just took on of their modelling sensitivities, presented it in the press release as their 'main result', and pretty much most media just accepted that as truth and ran with it. I tried so hard to correct....
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
·
**THIS IS A LIE** **THIS IS A LIE** **THIS IS A LIE** **THIS IS A LIE** **DON'T KNOW HOW ELSE TO SAY THIS FOLKS** **THIS IS A LIE** **THIS IS A LIE** *REALLY OUT OF OPTIONS YOU KNOW** **THIS IS A LIE** **THIS IS A LIE** **THIS IS A LIE** **THIS IS A LIE** twitter.com/KetanJ0/status
NEWS ARTICLE TEXT The government goes into the election with its existing commitment to achieve net zero carbon emissions by 2050, with a plan “focused on technologies and not taxes”. The Coalition has targeted 26-28 per cent emissions reduction by 2030, but has projected a 35 per cent reduction by the end of the decade. Scott Morrison has announced $152m for new hydrogen hubs in Townsville, and in NSW’s Hunter Region. These will complement existing plans for hubs in Perth and Gladstone.
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
Tracing that all the way back up to greenhouse gas emissions: Taylor and Morrison knew that they basically just had to solve from their target backwards, and this change does finally - after six years - result in an output that meets Aus old, weak 26% Paris target, thanks to elec
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
Like with 2018 to 2019 (obviously done with full knowledge of the 2019 election in mind, and before the department realised people like me are watching these datasets), 2020 to 2021 is a *huge* jump in forecasted clean power output in Australia, this time mostly from wind power
a forecast of both wind and solar output
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
It's interesting to break it down into more detail. Coal - huge downward revision Gas - not much change Wind - huge upward revision Solar - small upward revision Wind is the biggest change by far: obviously, Angus Taylor *did not* want that known. He genuinely loathes wind.
as per tweet text
as per tweet text
as per tweet text
as per tweet text
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
And - yeah - it *would* have been embarassing for Angus Taylor, because it continues the long trend of massively revising down coal output (not much change to gas from 2020's report) for 2022 to 2030, nearly 50% of total output is clean. By 2030, the latest predicts 62% clean
as per tweet text
as per tweet text
as per tweet text
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
As I point out down in the thread, for the first time, the report excluded a really vital table - showing assumed output of electricity generation in Aus - I theorised, because it was embarassing for former energy min
@AngusTaylorMP
That has revealed an extremely important narrative. These projections keep falling **mostly** because, underlying the reports, the predicted output of coal and gas keeps dropping each year. And wind and solar: keep climbing! https://reneweconomy.com.au/taylors-emissions-projections-assume-rapid-and-accelerated-exit-of-coal-power-42579/ Ketan Joshi @KetanJ0 · Oct 26, 2021 (the exception: from 2019 to 2020, wind got cut and gas got expanded. Angus Taylor's sworn nemesis and his most beloved fossil fuel, respectively) Ketan Joshi @KetanJ0 · Oct 26, 2021 But from 2020 to 2021, there was really obviously no longer any room for Angus Taylor's personal indulgences about tech he specifically loves and loathes. Such a deep cut to elec emissions **surely** meant a huge cut to both coal and gas, and more solar and wind. Ketan Joshi @KetanJ0 · Oct 26, 2021 Well.....guess what? We'll never really know. This year, they just ***deleted*** their elec gen projections from the underlying data. S
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
·
With some more time I can back-calculate generation, using emissions, these capacities and renewable proportions, and some educated guesses. I bet it'd show exactly why the gov't removed the data: coal and gas are on the way out much faster than they want widely known.
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
Okay, so, here's something of an update to this thread from last year, where I looked at Aus' emissions projections and found that they were nowhere near as optimistic as credulously and widely reported (and somehow still reported)
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
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The Australian government keeps saying that its own projections show a 35% drop in emissions by 2030 (relative to 2005). It's a lie. I will quickly explain how it's crafted, because it's really important. Time, my friends, for a 'lil thread twitter.com/KetanJ0/status
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
Carbon offsetting schemes creating new demand for high-emitting activites, example #94032483294083240923 ->
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Thomson Reuters Foundation News
@TRF_Stories
·
⭕️ @manuthan of co-living company @outsiteco said nomads are increasingly turning to carbon offsets. They're seeking to compensate for their climate impact by funding projects that reduce emissions. 🪟 But critics have dismissed such carbon-credit schemes as "window dressing".
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
Thank you
@damonayoung
for alerting me to this and consequently shaving ten years off my life due to my extreme emotional response
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Thomson Reuters Foundation News
@TRF_Stories
·
☕️ It's 9 a.m. on Monday. You're logging on for work. 🏖 But instead of being in the office, you're on the beaches of Barbados. Eco-conscious "slomads," like digital nomads, work while travelling — but they prefer to spend more time in one place. Could this life be for you? 🧵
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
The worst part of this is that it compares the widest part of Norway - a tall, thin country - to the widest part of Australia - a wide country. Norway is 1770km tall, just under half of Aus' width
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Peter Hannam
@p_hannam
·
Much as you’d expect in @dailytelegraph though it does raise a few questions about the pace of the charger rollout…
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Ketan Joshi Retweeted
David Wallace-Wells
@dwallacewells
“The lack of attention on Pakistan is heartbreaking: Too few major international cultural figures are speaking up for us in this moment of crisis. It is either a snide form of racism or else an utter failure of compassion.”
nytimes.com
Opinion | What Is Owed to Pakistan, Now One-Third Underwater
The Global North can help Pakistan by taking responsibility for the losses and damages of extreme weather fueled in part by the burning of fossil fuels.
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
Rant over, I guess. I just want to explain why I have strong feelings about this (and just to clarify for the millionth time, no, I am not a Shill for Big Wind)
Alexander Ač 🇵🇸 @Lacertko · Sep 2 This is dangerous culture. Journos shutting down scientists. This is not good. @nephologue Quote Tweet Ketan Joshi @KetanJ0 · Sep 2 This isn't 'taboo' so much as it is 'entirely made up', 'a lie' and 'wrong in every way imaginable' twitter.com/nephologue/sta… Show this thread Erin Remblance @remblance_erin Replying to @Lacertko and @nephologue Is it a little bit of “it’s difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon him not understanding it?”
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
But to exploit that suspicion and to state outright misinformation that severely misplaces blame and badly confuses causality is really, really bad - you aren't going to come anywhere closer to fixing those deep problems by lumping all blame on the machines themselves.
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
People are right to be deeply suspicious of promises that the basic flaws of our species can remain, while we swap out technologies. If you do that, you often just re-shape and re-deploy the same and new harms, and we end up barely budging. That's awful.
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
There's a double-whammy with extremely misleading misinformation on these issues. First, it urges people not to take beneficial actions. But second: it erodes our ability to properly and eagerly critique those helpful actions, to avoid any backfire / bad consequences.
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
Which I think is a reasonable comparison, because some big names in the 'collapse' movements are......actually opposed to vaccination, and employ misinformation to argue that point
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
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There are still a lot of people in the climate movement who take this guy seriously. He isn't making a civil rights argument against mandates. He's literally lying about vaccines and saying that they don't work. This is literally deadly, folks.
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
In general, it reminds me of the anti-vax movement, where I think some reasonable gripes often transform into a movement that is aggressively opposed to an objectively net-good technology that inarguably saves lives.
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Ketan Joshi
@KetanJ0
A blanket approach that simply assigns a climate-worsening curse to all new wind and solar means all the good potential gets thrown out with the bad. And the good is so badly needed: fossil fuels are killing millions right now, every single day.
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