Interesting piece. It got me thinking about path dependence. If Harper wins in 2015, it seems the path that lead to Scheer as leader no longer exists. In that world, does Kenney still head to Alberta? What about Trudeau? If the NDP maintained their vote share, what of Mulcair?
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Goodness me! This is why they teach political folks very early on not to engage in hypotheticals. But I'll take the bait and suggest that might have resulted in a Harper-Trudeau-Mulcair rematch in 2019.
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This is a great piece. Question though: *why* did the NDP vote fall? What was Layton offering these voters in 2008, say, that Mulcair in 2015 and Singh in 2019 did not?
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Strong leadership. A truly national party with a national brand. A party that was on the brink of replacing the Liberals. Sadly, Jack Layton's death ended all that and the NDP has been a shell of its former self ever since.
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The CPC need three groups to win: -905 voters who vote Conservative sometimes. They voted for the PC provincially in 2018. -Québec bleus who vote CAQ provincially. They are small c/conservatives it's just that they see the CPC as too anglo. -Swing voters in Atlantic Canada.
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The 905 votes CPC consistently in consistent numbers. They win when the NDP vote goes north of 20 percent. NDP is now nowhere near 20 percent. Not sure how you missed this central thesis of my piece.
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So, rather than trying to come up with policies that would appeal to a majority of Canadians, come up with ways to use divide-and-conquer to get in position of power, thus imposing the view of a minority on the majority. Strategically smart but ethically demoralizing.
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Politics and democracy is the way in which people who profoundly disagree find a way to live together. Or to put it another way, politics is war by peaceful means.
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I resent the namecasting ...lol
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You spelled "represent" wrong.
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Čini se da učitavanje traje već neko vrijeme.
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