Given your hit rate (which seems high) do you think your stated odds were generally too low?
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yeah - I think I should've been more aggressive, and will try to be this year. it's hard to remind yourself that if you're doing this right you should sometimes be wrong.
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I think your Impossible meat prediction is correct. See Kroger:https://www.wellandgood.com/good-food/bleeding-impossible-burger-kroger/ …
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You guys should try to predict more rare events, and post calibrations with a better score (MCC https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Matthews_correlation_coefficient … or AOC ) instead of just true/false :)
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