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South Korea (51M pop) is testing about 10K Ppl/day, and soon 15-20K! They are installing drive-through testing facilities to minimize pressures on healthcare system by keeping folks out until they need to be in... They have 6,088 cases and 37 deaths (case fatality rate 0.6%).pic.twitter.com/H6RNtK1NKi
... WHO gave IMO a misleading 3.4% global MR for COVID-19. But China's # must be incomplete (missing mild, untested cases). Morale: the more you test, the more you find, the more your numbers are a reflection of reality. So, that makes me happy (in a bizarre way)
Regrettably, it seems that you need to give the cases time to either get healthy or become a fatality. In a few weeks, we should see the fatality rate rise. Also, they are now running out of hospital beds.
South Korea is at 40/6088 = 0.7%. Here’s hoping that’s closer to correct.
Background is: majority of the patients are cult members and a considerable portion of them are young women under 30. They is the reason for low CFR. It does not reflect the whole picture.
How could you ever know that!?!? The diamond princess and SK are only to date reliable stuff we have. China changed there testing criteria so much their cfr is flawed
Is it also possible that such widespread testing in SK allowed for earlier treatment and therefore, better outcomes and lower fatality rates?
They did do that in China. "...fever clinics in Guangdong province screened approximately 320,000 people for COVID-19 and only found 0.14% of them to be positive." There something wrong with their data?
Actually, as long as no body's tried to overcome this sample bias, where the sicker people are the ones detected, the estimates are BOUND to be exaggerated. And to those talking about early stages- what about those who died quicker than it typically takes to recover?
You need to multiple the coronavirus by 20
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