The US currently has over 43% of the world’s active cases of COVID-19.
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There’s no other view to have here. Numbers are numbers, and terrible estimates are terrible estimates.
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We very well may hit 100,000 by June.
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I don’t know how you stand there with 56,000 deaths under your belt, and with deaths being reported at the rate of nearly 2,500 per day, and change your estimate of deaths from 60,000 to 70,000. That’s just fucking dumb.
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I'm old enough to remember when it was said that they over estimated 150,000 deaths just so they could claim a victory
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jeebus we were just at 53k a day or so ago..this is a science fiction movie come to life and the administration prefers selling popcorn
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Grasping the geometric progression is hard even though we've all read about the "double my allowance every day but start with 1 cent" by sixth grade.
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How many of the 65,000 are presumed?
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I think he's basing this off of the model from the IMHE which has routinely been too low for the last 3+ weeks (currently predicts 72K). The CDC even removed it from their forecasts page today, but didn't say why.https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/forecasting-us.html …
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