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I think we do know that its widespread in saigas (though that's not in this paper, to be fair - there's another one coming with more detail), and we have confirmed it as COD as best we can - what other confirmation would convince you? The tricky bit is why.
You show disease A and bug B, and then hypothesize that B > A, but only when C (climate) is a factor. Problem is that there's no plausible mechanism for how B|C > A, and no experimental link either. So while it's an interesting hypothesis, this is not a proof.
As alternative hypotheses it could simply be that B is always present, or A > systemic B whether C is present or not. Have you tried metagenomic sequencing to look for other putative pathogens? (NGS was mentioned, but no data presented that I could find).
Unfortunately there are regulatory issues with exporting DNA from Kazakhstan, RIBSP in KZ has done basic sequencing (paper in review). Pasteurella does seem widely present species-wide (in healthy adults & calves), from our surveys to date.
Yes, we agree, and we are careful to say this. But the diagnosis is sound, we think.
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