A good overview of how difficult it is to estimate the infection fatality ratio (IFR;~1%) for #COVID19.
What you really need to know though, is that the U.S. has had >115,000 fatalities. And >95% of us are still susceptible. IFR estimates only go so far.https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-01738-2 …
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At some point, I think we have to start praising the WHO for early accuracy here. I know everyone’s stuck in the 2009 paradigm, but the estimate from February (0.3-1.0%) https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200219-sitrep-30-covid-19.pdf … just looks better and better as more data comes in.
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