Bad news. Early results show only 5% of Spanish population exposed to virus so far, and already 27,100 COVID deaths. That huge iceberg we're all hoping for? Still no evidence that it's there.https://twitter.com/_MiguelHernan/status/1260625031119409156 …
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Als antwoord op @devisridhar @K_G_Andersen
Does this imply a 1.1% IFR? That seems... quite bad.
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yes, that is really bad. Flu is around 0.01 I think.
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Als antwoord op @UK_Centrist @GreenOctopus en
I believe flu has a mortality rate of 0.1
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Als antwoord op @sallymiranda @GreenOctopus en
Yes, I've seen that mentioned quite often. This one quotes 0.06 based on flu in US this year and occasionally you see lower. I guess many cases of flu go unregistered.https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/01/coronavirus-flu-healthcare-symptoms/ …
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Als antwoord op @UK_Centrist @sallymiranda en
Taylor 🐝 🌊 🌍 heeft geretweet Adam Kucharski
I also previously thought flu was 0.1% but then understood that wasn't apples to apples. It's more like 0.02% to 0.05%, unfortunately:https://twitter.com/AdamJKucharski/status/1243466394991239170?s=19 …
Taylor 🐝 🌊 🌍 heeft toegevoegd,
Adam KucharskiGeverifieerd account @AdamJKucharskiRecent estimates (including our analysis led by@timwrussell: https://www.eurosurveillance.org/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.12.2000256 …) have suggested 0.5–1% of COVID-19 infections may potentially be fatal overall. Some have interpreted this to mean COVID could be similar to flu, but they're making a crucial mistake... 1/Deze collectie tonen1 antwoord 0 retweets 4 vind-ik-leuks
I don't think we have any reason to believe the IFR is less than 1% - at least an order (if not two) of magnitude higher than flu.
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Als antwoord op @K_G_Andersen @mostlyO2 en
at least 10 times as deadly
0 antwoorden 0 retweets 1 vind-ik-leukBedankt, Twitter gebruikt dit om je tijdlijn te verbeteren. Ongedaan makenOngedaan maken
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