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I have a question. Several US states have been under lock-down for ~ six weeks and we have hit a plateau of COVID-19 deaths and cases. Now states want to open up to 'restart their economies', so my question is this - do you think these curves will go up or down? Up or down?pic.twitter.com/Pm1BQg0zwP
And just to be clear - I'm asking this tongue in cheek. It'll obviously go up and possibly very quickly because of a huge amount of underlying transmission. So what do we do? We make a long-term plan for how we get out of this pickle, that's what we do.
just to be clear, left graph is daily new cases, right graph is daily new deaths?
Yup. Some talented young people made a website to nicely display these - it’s pretty rad. http://Outbreak.info 
Cases may go up, deaths will go down.
Why would that happen?
My gut feel is that we are on a platau, where the states that have not yet peaked will be balanced by the states that are past peak. Each state will learn for itself (the hard way) what is necessary to control this disease.
Until the next wave, of course.
I don’t think. I know. 
Up, up and away
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