From my talk earlier today. Do you agree / disagree? I'd love to hear arguments for why my timeline is too pessimistic.pic.twitter.com/P6VkPgVeVD
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3 years still strikes me as a long time. With so many products being developed in parallel & so quickly, I am more hopeful. Even something with 50% efficacy (and no enhancement) would help. But certainly we need to pursue the trace & isolate option as if it takes that long.
Yeah, I agree it seems like a long time, but in vaccinology, three years would be blazingly fast. One important thing - I'm not saying we *couldn't* have a vaccine in a year, however, realistically I think it'll take longer and should be what we need to plan for.
