Since the whole world has gotten into modeling, this is a great article @TheAtlantic laying out why we should never think of these as trying to exactly predict the future: https://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2020/04/coronavirus-models-arent-supposed-be-right/609271/ …
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... and here I'm just doing a straight up regression with a single variable (doubling time) - real models are much more complex and have many more variables, most of which are uncertain at this time. YET, e.g.,
@MRC_Outbreak have managed to provide many very useful models! 4/nDeze collectie tonen -
Note - I'm in no way a modeler, so take all of what I just said with that in mind - including if you double-check my calculations above...
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