Kristian G. AndersenGeverifieerd account

@SSTSundhed @Heunicke Herd immunity: - many will die in the process. - possible only short term immunity (<1y for other Corona vira). - possible emergence of new stains, and some reports of reinfection already. Arguments for this strategy? - easy & feasible? - other..?https://twitter.com/K_G_Andersen/status/1245216348377993217 …

If it's the only feasible strategy? Best case scenario might be to get through it without hospitals overwhelmed. I still think extensive test & trace will be the best way of attaining that with the least disruption to people's lives.

Test and trace is the alternative. But requires that you create the infrastructure for it.

I think you are being overconfident when you think we can squash it at this stage. But maybe I'm just being dramatic. Seeing Germany having all the testing capacity and still fucking it up has maybe broken my spirit a bit.

It was always a two step strategy: Lockdown gives R<1, leading to peak/decline. THEN: IF herd strategy -> adjust lockdown for R~=1, continue controlled spread. ELSE contain strategy -> keep lockdown tight, cases drop to very low -> have infrastructure ready for track and trace.