Since I have probably gotten these questions a thousand times by now, let me just do a quick summary: 1. Is it mutating? Yes. It's normal. 2. Did the epidemic take off in the market? Yes. It's uncontroversial. 3. How do you know? See 1. Apply math. More to come.
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A reasonable follow up question might be: 4. How fast is it mutating exactly? About the same rate as I'm growing grey hairs. For a more detailed explanation, read
@arambaut's post here: http://virological.org/t/phylodynamic-analysis-of-ncov-2019-genomes-27-jan-2020/353 … (or mine: http://virological.org/t/clock-and-tmrca-based-on-27-genomes/347/6 … - but his is better).2 antwoorden 7 retweets 39 vind-ik-leuksDeze collectie tonen -
Als antwoord op @K_G_Andersen @arambaut
crucial question - exactly how quickly are you growing grey hairs? And are you plucking them out (purifying selection)?
1 antwoord 0 retweets 2 vind-ik-leuks -
Or to paraphrase some of the discussions out there. OMG grey hairs are appearing,
@K_G_Andersen must be mutating and evolving! Run for the hills!1 antwoord 0 retweets 1 vind-ik-leuk -
It is strongly correlated with him using BEAST.
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Honey you look younger today. Did you get a haircut or did you switch to a maximum likelihood approach?
1 antwoord 0 retweets 6 vind-ik-leuks
Frequentist nonsense. Honey.
Het laden lijkt wat langer te duren.
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