I'll elaborate more on this later, but for now, please ignore these types of panicked statements. The reproductive number (R0) of a virus is *highly* context and time dependent and *will* change. E.g., SARS was ~3 in the beginning, but <1 after intervention.https://twitter.com/Laurie_Garrett/status/1221455737714565120 …
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All that's likely to boil down to though is possible changes in contact structure. The other params that feed into R0 *should* be attached to a particular pathogen. With most cases in large urban centers, contact structure is likely similar so R0(China) may approx R0(UK)
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Of the main things influencing R0 - contact rate (k), probability of infection (b), and infectious period (d), all will vary based on population, environment, and detection/containment strategies - some more than others.
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That's it: R0 is by definition that magic number, fixed & attached to a path. It's defined in an ideal, naive, homogenous, etc population. In theory there's no UK or China, only 1 boring ideal population. In practice... well, it's the kind of stuff that keeps us awake at night.
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