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What we really want to know is what happens to R0 now intervention has been put in place, and importantly what is the R0 going to be in other countries where the virus has been exported to. Likely these will all be significantly lower. So please take these with a grain of salt.
If you want to get a more in-depth look at how R0 is calculated and the factors influencing it, check out @Caroline_OF_B's tweet which has a lot of great background.https://twitter.com/Caroline_OF_B/status/1221628145406742528?s=20 …
Question came up elsewhere: how much does diagnostic tools affect this estimate? If tools are faster, more sensitive and/or more precise, how would it change? Particularly in context of comparing now to prior outbreaks
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