The age of the virus population ~ corresponds to the time the outbreak was detected (mid-December). This means China detected the outbreak - caused by a novel virus - almost immediately. In the middle of flu season. Deeply impressive
.https://twitter.com/arambaut/status/1219239883719544837 …
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Als antwoord op @K_G_Andersen @EckerleIsabella
If spillover indeed happened around early December, isn't it very worrying that there are already hundreds of cases in China and 4 exported in such a short time?
@arambaut@AdamJKucharski@trvrb@richardneher1 antwoord 1 retweet 3 vind-ik-leuks -
Als antwoord op @C_Althaus @K_G_Andersen en
Yes. In the absence of ongoing exposure to a non-human animal reservoir to explain new cases, this is extremely worrying.
1 antwoord 2 retweets 12 vind-ik-leuks -
Als antwoord op @arambaut @K_G_Andersen en
I first thought spillover around early December is not plausible, but the genomic analyses seem to be spot-on.
4 antwoorden 0 retweets 0 vind-ik-leuks -
Als antwoord op @C_Althaus @K_G_Andersen en
Of course these things have huge capacity for surprises. However, the good thing is that the rapid identification of outbreak and then the isolation of virus in the matter of days means countries are more prepared than in the past.
1 antwoord 0 retweets 7 vind-ik-leuks
Yup, I agree Christian - especially the recent report of healthcare worker infections is deeply concerning. While the sequencing data does not prove H2H transmission, the data is consistent with that scenario (as well as others). HCW infections > highly likely H2H.
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