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Note that when the outbreak in West Africa hit 2000 deaths, the recorded mortality rate was around 54%. It’s about 66% in #DRC — despite a vaccine, drugs and better clinical care. That tells you just how bad the situation is.
Hey Amy - please note that the reported numbers for W. Africa were never accurate. The adjusted numbers were closer to 70% CFR, dropping down to mid-60s later on. So very similar to DRC. E.g.:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25244186?dopt=Citation …
Thanks. I got my % by dividing 2097 deaths by 3,944 cases on Sept 5, 2014 in Guinea, Sierra Leone & Liberia. Was it that Ebola deaths weren't being counted? Or were cases falsely counted?
Yeah, so that's a different number - it's the Proportion of Fatal Cases (PFC), which is always lower than CFR because for many cases we don't have outcomes. Very common misconception - @MackayIM had a great post on this:https://virologydownunder.com/the-proportion-of-fatal-cases-pfc/ …
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