Here we go again. [And the answer? No]. https://www.newyorker.com/science/elements/is-ebola-evolving-into-a-more-deadly-virus …pic.twitter.com/abJ5vD2hAN
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One could of course point out that with a case fatality rate hovering around 75%, becoming "more deadly" is kinda hard. Also, each human outbreak is a dead end for the virus.
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In the article (and his new book) there is also a misunderstanding of 'wild types' and 'mutants' - they're meaningless designations. Importantly, the 'Makona strain' isn't some mutant strain that arose during the W. Africa epidemic - it's the name of the variant that started it.
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A couple of references to better understand the evolution of viruses (incl. Makona) during outbreaks. - Discussion/review of Ebola virus evolution: https://www.nature.com/articles/nature19790 … - Naming of Makona: https://www.mdpi.com/1999-4915/6/11/4760 … - General review on the topic:https://www.nature.com/articles/s41564-018-0296-2 …
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“Meanwhile, the other lineages of Ebola died out. It seemed that the … mutant had somehow beaten them in a contest for survival“ This is not even true. An original lineage, without A82V, in Guinea co-circulated to the very end of epidemic.
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Wait ‘till you read the book...
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