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JustinWolfers's profile
Justin Wolfers
Justin Wolfers
Justin Wolfers
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@JustinWolfers

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Justin WolfersVerified account

@JustinWolfers

Professor @UMichEcon & @FordSchool | @NYTimes contributor | Senior Fellow @BrookingsInst & @PIIE | Intro Econ textbook author | Think Like an Economist podcast

Ann Arbor, MI
nber.org/~jwolfers
Joined July 2011

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    Justin Wolfers‏Verified account @JustinWolfers 16 May 2020

    Justin Wolfers Retweeted CEA45 Archived

    Remember 11 days ago when Kevin Hassett's cubic fit promised us zero deaths by... <checks chart> Today.https://twitter.com/WhiteHouseCEA45/status/1257680258364555264 …

    Justin Wolfers added,

    CEA45 ArchivedVerified account @WhiteHouseCEA45
    To better visualize observed data, we also continually update a curve-fitting exercise to summarize COVID-19's observed trajectory. Particularly with irregular data, curve fitting can improve data visualization. As shown, IHME's mortality curves have matched the data fairly well. pic.twitter.com/NtJcOdA98R
    Show this thread
    5:07 AM - 16 May 2020
    • 818 Retweets
    • 2,386 Likes
    • Morgan Evelyn JustAnotherJoe Maia 🏳️‍⚧️ Micheal Lee John Deppe Shawn Miskiman Mike Denly Beau Buchmann Gunsgalore
    53 replies 818 retweets 2,386 likes
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      2. Look here, Jack‏ @realworldrj 16 May 2020
        Replying to @JustinWolfers

        Next Hassett idea: If you don’t plot cases on a chart, there will be no new cases

        1 reply 2 retweets 57 likes
      3. MAMIDURA‏ @midura_m 16 May 2020
        Replying to @realworldrj @JustinWolfers

        Next idea, rename coronavirus. Look, no more coronavirus!

        1 reply 2 retweets 30 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. #Doomberg: Marxist-Yeagerist ⌬‏ @delmoi 16 May 2020
        Replying to @JustinWolfers

        This is because economists think they can do any branch of science just as good as real scientists just by fitting random curves like they do in economics (where there's no real way to test if their predictions are any good at all)

        1 reply 3 retweets 52 likes
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      2. Cindy L Arnevik‏ @cabbageridge 16 May 2020
        Replying to @JustinWolfers

        Good reason not to trust pandemic models made by economists. Conversely I wouldn’t trust economic models made by epidemiologists nor would they even try and make them

        1 reply 0 retweets 17 likes
      3. James McLaren‏ @JamesHMcLaren 16 May 2020
        Replying to @cabbageridge @JustinWolfers

        I wouldn’t trust economic models made by economists either.

        1 reply 1 retweet 42 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. Unironically Ellie‏ @NYCEllieD 16 May 2020
        Replying to @JustinWolfers

        1700 dead yesterday. Where is this miracle?

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
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      2. Patrick McNamara‏ @TwistedFocus99 16 May 2020
        Replying to @Pematthews1273 @JustinWolfers

        I'm still trying to find the 2.5M Americans that were suppose to be dead by now...

        8 replies 1 retweet 0 likes
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