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JustinWolfers's profile
Justin Wolfers
Justin Wolfers
Justin Wolfers
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@JustinWolfers

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Justin WolfersVerified account

@JustinWolfers

Professor @UMichEcon & @FordSchool | @NYTimes contributor | Senior Fellow @BrookingsInst & @PIIE | Intro Econ textbook author | Think Like an Economist podcast

Ann Arbor, MI
nber.org/~jwolfers
Joined July 2011

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    1. Justin Wolfers‏Verified account @JustinWolfers 3 Mar 2020

      The economics of toilet paper shortages is the same as bank runs. [thread] Even if you’re not freaked out about a pandemic, you worry that everyone else is & they’ll stockpile to 🧻, & you don’t want to be the left paperless. So you stockpile to avoid being shut out by others.

      120 replies . 1,119 retweets 2,442 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Justin Wolfers‏Verified account @JustinWolfers 3 Mar 2020

      So you run and get toilet paper not because you need dozens of rolls, but because you fear that others are going to stockpile leaving none for you. And they’re buying because they fear (correctly) that you’re running to the store to stock up, leaving none for them.

      9 replies . 33 retweets 330 likes
      Show this thread
      Justin Wolfers‏Verified account @JustinWolfers 3 Mar 2020

      So you run and get toilet paper not because you think society is about to crumble, but because you fear that others fear this. Fear of a run on toilet paper — like a run on banks — is enough to create an actual run. And when the runs start we need help. (pun intended)

      4:13 pm - 3 Mar 2020
      • 54 Retweets
      • 532 Likes
      • Mark Atlassheepdog DEI Lead at British East India Co. Trump Won & We All Know It Cole Kinson Marilyn Gotschall Taco and a Pork Chop 🇭🇰🇺🇦 RandyNerd42 Emmanuel Sibanda
      7 replies . 54 retweets 532 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Justin Wolfers‏Verified account @JustinWolfers 3 Mar 2020

          The result is that shelves are empty. Capitalism fails, and we all start to worry about 💩 🖐. The whole mess is created by fear, but the reality of toilet paper shortages means that fear is rational.pic.twitter.com/I6izGTU3NC

          94 replies . 37 retweets 336 likes
          Show this thread
        3. Justin Wolfers‏Verified account @JustinWolfers 3 Mar 2020

          Justin Wolfers Retweeted Jeanmarie Grimsley

          The problem is we have two equilibria: 1. Normal times: Everyone believes there will be 🧻 so no-one stockpiles. 2. Panic times: Everyone fears shortages, which leads them to stockpile, which creates shortages. That’s happening now.https://twitter.com/grimss2/status/1234996070226128897 …

          Justin Wolfers added,

          Jeanmarie Grimsley @grimss2
          Replying to @JustinWolfers
          Here’s what was left of the toilet paper at my local Costco Sunday afternoon 😳 pic.twitter.com/t04oMoDrDX
          14 replies . 38 retweets 235 likes
          Show this thread
        4. Justin Wolfers‏Verified account @JustinWolfers 3 Mar 2020

          Here’s how we solve the self-fulfilling panics that cause bank runs: 1. The FDIC insures your money, so even if everyone else is running to the bank, you don’t have to try to beat them. 2. Lender of last resort: The Fed lends to banks facing these runs, so they can keep operating

          4 replies . 23 retweets 192 likes
          Show this thread
        5. Justin Wolfers‏Verified account @JustinWolfers 3 Mar 2020

          All of this says that what we need right now is a government-backed Strategic Toilet Paper Reserve. That Reserve makes a promise that even if your local Costco an out, you still have the right to buy 2 rolls per week from the government’s stockpile.

          18 replies . 118 retweets 606 likes
          Show this thread
        6. Justin Wolfers‏Verified account @JustinWolfers 3 Mar 2020

          The Strategic Toilet Paper Reserve removes the incentive to stockpile. It ensures that even if you see others running to the store to stockpile toilet paper, you no longer need to try to run to beat them. You can relax, knowing that you’ll still be able to wipe your bum.pic.twitter.com/iDYynXd25X

          10 replies . 59 retweets 350 likes
          Show this thread
        7. Justin Wolfers‏Verified account @JustinWolfers 3 Mar 2020

          So the economics of bank runs really is the same as the economics of toilet paper shortages. Both point to problems with unfettered markets. And both have problems that can be solved with clever government regulation. The only difference is what’s on the paper.pic.twitter.com/7FttR6ynwx

          16 replies . 83 retweets 387 likes
          Show this thread
        8. Justin Wolfers‏Verified account @JustinWolfers 3 Mar 2020

          So, ummmm... that’s the economics of deposit insurance. 💩 💩 💩 #sorry #notsorry ( Credit for the eco-pun: @ProfMKavanagh)

          12 replies . 9 retweets 246 likes
          Show this thread
        9. Justin Wolfers‏Verified account @JustinWolfers 6 Mar 2020

          Career highlight: The BBC had me on for ten minutes discussing the urgency of a Strategic Toilet Paper Reserve. (Click through: Starts at 16 minute point.)https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/w172wmxchdfb9x8 …

          25 replies . 39 retweets 251 likes
          Show this thread
        10. End of conversation
        1. Devin Nunes is suing a burner phone‏ @da_zin_guy 3 Mar 2020
          Replying to @JustinWolfers

          Malaysia does not understand the problem you posit.

          0 replies . 0 retweets 1 like
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