The #COVID19 Scenario Modeling Hub is working on a round devoted to #Omicron. However, the speed and severity of the waves seen in our *preliminary* projections prompted us to release a statement before the formal process is complete. See it here covid19scenariomodelinghub.org (1/3)
Conversation
Replying to
Quick summary: cases in the US will likely exceed the Delta peak by first week of January. The big question is severity. In low severity scenarios hospitalizations stay far below the Delta peak, but in higher severity ones they exceed anything seen in the pandemic thus far. (2/3)
1
25
64
The sheer number of cases projected in any of the scenarios will likely majorly strain US Healthcare Systems, even in the lowest severity projections. (3/3)
3
30
69
Replying to
Not that I know anything, but it would be interesting to have projections based on assumption that severity is about the same as previous variants for not-previously-infected & unvaccinated or immunocompromised; and maybe 20% as virulent for partly-vaccinated or prev. infected.
1
2
Show replies