Average polling errors in UK elections: Feb 1974: 2% Oct 1974: 6% 1979: 1% 1983: 5% 1987: 4% 1992: 9% 1997: 5% 2001: 5% 2005: 3% 2010: 1% 2015: 6% EUref: 4% 2017: 5% Unfortunately, as with many other things, suggestions of a previous golden age aren’t backed up by evidence https://twitter.com/danieljhannan/status/965873867351871488 …
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They do pretty similarly - unsurprisingly given most pollsters are doing similar things wherever they are - but yes FPTP means comparatively small errors make for much bigger differences in outcomes
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New conversation -
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What's the acceptable margin of error We should correctly identify the problems Before moving to another system Then find errors and loose faith in the system again
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