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JordanChariton's profile
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@JordanChariton

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@JordanChariton

Journalist @StatusCoup | TIPS via DM or info (at) Statuscoup dot com | Support IN-THE-FIELD Journalism http://statuscoup.com/join/  https://www.youtube.com/statuscoup 

New York, NY
statuscoup.com
Joined February 2010

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    1. Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton Aug 12

      Jordan Retweeted Nate Silver

      Cable news drilled home for a year straight propaganda that @JoeBiden was the "safe"/"electable" candidate. According to @NateSilver538, Biden's % odds of victory are EXACT same as @HillaryClinton's in 2016... Amid a deadly pandemic & looming depression.https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1293501681343373312?s=20 …

      Jordan added,

      Nate SilverVerified account @NateSilver538
      Coincidentally, these are the exact same odds as in our final forecast in 2016!!! (Clinton 71%, Trump 29%) As was also the case in 2016, our model gives Trump a MUCH higher chance than other statistical models.
      Show this thread
      17 replies 147 retweets 405 likes
    2. Eric the Red‏ @RealEric4Real Aug 12
      Replying to @JordanChariton @JoeBiden and

      I hate Biden and don’t think he is the most electable. However... To be fair, u r comparing August numbers in 2020 vs the final numbers from 2016. If these were the final poll numbers for 2020, they would have Biden at like 93% I think is what Nate says. So not apples to apples.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton Aug 12
      Replying to @RealEric4Real @JoeBiden and

      Technically you're correct--but August 2016 was not a pandemic with 165K dead and 10+% unemployment. The fact that current Biden % is where HRC's final forecast was is pretty alarming

      2:12 PM - 12 Aug 2020
      • 1 Retweet
      • 6 Likes
      • David Rolon shireh awale Nate Wilcox Kim Crawley I. Perez R. Le KALAL'
      1 reply 1 retweet 6 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Eric the Red‏ @RealEric4Real Aug 12
          Replying to @JordanChariton @JoeBiden and

          Yeah, it’s not great for sure. Part of me thinks that even Biden should b doing better than he is, but there r just not a lot of swing voters left in America. Of course, his being a terrible candidate makes them less likely to swing.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. 25 days-VOTE‏ @Poormanumbrella Aug 13
          Replying to @RealEric4Real @JordanChariton and

          Trump has an entrenched ~35% that dont care what trump does, will suffer any indignation, both physically and emotionally, to ensure trump gets reelected. Its a factor that didn't really exist in 2016. That said, you are looking at national polls and not the breakouts

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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