We're 8 months out. Those polls are in a vacuum. You're assuming high youth turnout and I expect voter suppression. I'm inherently skeptical of campaigns where success requires alot of new variables
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Replying to @DrJasonJohnson
Fair enough—but I don’t see why you’re not in turn skeptical about going back to the same exact well. Anyone with eyes can see Biden would lose to Trump (actually has worse liabilities than Clinton—MI/WI/PA 2016 exit polls showed trade was top issue). Once Trumps labels..
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Replying to @JordanChariton
And heeeeere it comes. One of these days someone who isn't a Sanders supporter is going to provide an empirical path to victory for him that doesn't require wishful thinking
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Replying to @DrJasonJohnson
Here what comes? Everything I’ve pointed out to you is backed up my facts and data.
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Replying to @JordanChariton @DrJasonJohnson
I actually reported on the ground in 2016 and am doing so now. I’ve spoken w/ hundreds of Rust Belt residents. Trade/NAFTA was by far the top issue and draw to Trump. Exit polls in Rust Belt states showed trade and immigration as top voting issues. Not sure how you discount this
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Replying to @JordanChariton @DrJasonJohnson
A lot of these folks had previously voted for President Obama by the way. I don’t get how you see no path when Sanders won two of the states needed to win back the WH in the primary and is polling well in all 3 now
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Replying to @JordanChariton
Unlike Hillary Clinton who was pulling in about 50 to 53% of her party on a regular basis Bernie Sanders as of now is not polling higher than about 35% of the Democratic Party. That gives me pause about him being able to unify an enthusiastic party
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Replying to @DrJasonJohnson
That is a bad-faith argument as you know
@HillaryClinton would not be pulling 53% of her party if she was facing 7-10 candidates (including former VP to Obama). If you look at top second choice for Biden/Warren voters—it’s Sanders2 replies 1 retweet 7 likes -
Replying to @JordanChariton @HillaryClinton
A bad faith argument is one that is driven by a motivation to confirm your own bias as opposed to one that is driven by General skepticism of the premise being presented
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Clinton was hugely popular with the Dem base which is part of why Joe Biden didn't enter the race.
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You are a smart enough dude to know @HillaryClinton would not garner 53% of the vote against 10 candidates. Comparing 2016–with completely different dynamics—to 2020–is just not a good-faith argument.
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