I am skeptical of national match up polls this early in the race, even if the Dem has a major lead. Technically the top 4 Dems can beat Trump head to head. I don't think anyone should (or does) believe thathttps://twitter.com/JordanChariton/status/1230553551342120960 …
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Replying to @DrJasonJohnson
Are you skeptical of head to head polls with
@BernieSanders leading him in MI/WI/PA from@nytimes. You don’t think Sanders gets those 77,000 votes Hillary Clinton didn’t—particularly with more young voters coming out?https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2019/11/04/upshot/trump-biden-warren-polls.amp.html …4 replies 2 retweets 9 likes -
Replying to @JordanChariton
We're 8 months out. Those polls are in a vacuum. You're assuming high youth turnout and I expect voter suppression. I'm inherently skeptical of campaigns where success requires alot of new variables
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Replying to @DrJasonJohnson
Fair enough—but I don’t see why you’re not in turn skeptical about going back to the same exact well. Anyone with eyes can see Biden would lose to Trump (actually has worse liabilities than Clinton—MI/WI/PA 2016 exit polls showed trade was top issue). Once Trumps labels..
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Replying to @JordanChariton
And heeeeere it comes. One of these days someone who isn't a Sanders supporter is going to provide an empirical path to victory for him that doesn't require wishful thinking
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Replying to @DrJasonJohnson
Here what comes? Everything I’ve pointed out to you is backed up my facts and data.
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Replying to @JordanChariton @DrJasonJohnson
I actually reported on the ground in 2016 and am doing so now. I’ve spoken w/ hundreds of Rust Belt residents. Trade/NAFTA was by far the top issue and draw to Trump. Exit polls in Rust Belt states showed trade and immigration as top voting issues. Not sure how you discount this
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Replying to @JordanChariton @DrJasonJohnson
A lot of these folks had previously voted for President Obama by the way. I don’t get how you see no path when Sanders won two of the states needed to win back the WH in the primary and is polling well in all 3 now
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Replying to @JordanChariton
Unlike Hillary Clinton who was pulling in about 50 to 53% of her party on a regular basis Bernie Sanders as of now is not polling higher than about 35% of the Democratic Party. That gives me pause about him being able to unify an enthusiastic party
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Replying to @DrJasonJohnson @JordanChariton
Trump's message of grievance and racial hierarchy has proven to be way more appealing to white people then their economic concerns. Sanders success requires a completely different thinking model than what we've ever seen from the majority of white voters in America
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to be fair, you predicted @BernieSanders would be politically dead by last summer. Of course doesn’t mean your views shouldn’t be taken seriously—but maybe you’re underestimating the growing multi-racial economic justice movement forming. He has been organizing for 4 yeaes
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adhominem
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