I am skeptical of national match up polls this early in the race, even if the Dem has a major lead. Technically the top 4 Dems can beat Trump head to head. I don't think anyone should (or does) believe thathttps://twitter.com/JordanChariton/status/1230553551342120960 …
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Replying to @DrJasonJohnson
Are you skeptical of head to head polls with
@BernieSanders leading him in MI/WI/PA from@nytimes. You don’t think Sanders gets those 77,000 votes Hillary Clinton didn’t—particularly with more young voters coming out?https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.nytimes.com/2019/11/04/upshot/trump-biden-warren-polls.amp.html …4 replies 2 retweets 9 likes -
Replying to @JordanChariton
We're 8 months out. Those polls are in a vacuum. You're assuming high youth turnout and I expect voter suppression. I'm inherently skeptical of campaigns where success requires alot of new variables
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Replying to @DrJasonJohnson
Fair enough—but I don’t see why you’re not in turn skeptical about going back to the same exact well. Anyone with eyes can see Biden would lose to Trump (actually has worse liabilities than Clinton—MI/WI/PA 2016 exit polls showed trade was top issue). Once Trumps labels..
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Replying to @JordanChariton
And heeeeere it comes. One of these days someone who isn't a Sanders supporter is going to provide an empirical path to victory for him that doesn't require wishful thinking
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Replying to @DrJasonJohnson @JordanChariton
Because winning States and a Democratic primary is not the same thing as when he states in the general election. Hillary Clinton made that argument against Obama in 2008 didn't work out too well for her either
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Of course—no one can definitively say whether he would win those states in general election. But why running a candidate in the same exact mold as a @HillaryClinton—but with a longer/worse record—would be the recipe to win back those states doesn’t make sense
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