Is there a risk of a nominee who doesn't excite Dems? Yes. But 2018 was actually problematic for the "high turnout wins" theory. In 2014, Charlie Crist got 2.8 million votes for governor of Florida. In 2018, Andrew Gillum got 4 million votes. Both lost. https://twitter.com/_ericblanc/status/1222176297863933957 …
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High turnout is Actually the same as low turnout, Jordan.
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I still have all his mailers from primaries into the general and you can see how the FDP consultants that they forced into his campaign changed his message and removed the M4A talk.
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Then why did he under perform centrist Senator Nelson, and why did Nikki Fried win while he lost?
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Nelson was an incumbent, DeSantis had the benefit of running for the Governorship after a Republican who was popular among his party.
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He beat Gwen Graham because he took the African American vote, which is the base of the Floridia Democratic Parry. Blacks didn’t storm the voting booth for him because of policy but because He was making history!
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