Obviously @NateSilver538 isn't going to respond to me (the person who interviewed @BernieSanders campaign manager @fshakir). He's too elitist to talk to us peasant independent journalists. But like being TOTALLY wrong in 2016 on Trump, he's wrong herehttps://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1138842724772323328 …
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For example, a recent Emerson poll had 53% of those sampled being 50+ and 46% of those sampled under the age of 50. This is as close to an even distribution as I've seen ages sampled in 2020 polls. In this poll with a more even distribution of ages sampled,
@JoeBiden was up 8%Show this thread -
over
@BernieSanders....not the 15-20% lead that other polls found Biden has (that are significantly under sampling younger voters).https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/may-national-poll-biden-back-in-the-lead-for-the-democratic-nomination …Show this thread -
Why is that Emerson can find a healthy number of voters under 50 to sample but others can't? Can you answer that for me
@NateSilver538?Show this thread
End of conversation
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If he can’t, he is the failure!
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I get the feeling many of these polling firms are strongly averse to changing methodology. It would take effort & cost $ (much easier to use built lists), & since they are very dependent on very establishment institutions (parties, consultants, MSM), they like 'expected' results.
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