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JordanChariton's profile
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Journalist @StatusCoup | TIPS via DM or info (at) Statuscoup dot com | Support IN-THE-FIELD Journalism http://statuscoup.com/join/  https://www.youtube.com/statuscoup 

New York, NY
statuscoup.com
Joined February 2010

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    1. Nate Silver‏Verified account @NateSilver538 12 Jun 2019

      Nate Silver Retweeted Status Coup

      Pretty irresponsible by Sanders campaign manager @fshakir to endorse the theory that polls are "oversampling" older voters. Short THREAD follows:https://twitter.com/StatusCoup/status/1138508125127024642 …

      Nate Silver added,

      Status Coup @StatusCoup
      In interview w/ Status Coup, @BernieSanders' camp manager @fshakir calls out "suspect" polling showing @JoeBiden w/ a big lead (that oversample older voters). He also noted corporate media attacks on Sanders--who don't disclose their conflicts of interest https://statuscoup.com/bernie-sanders-campaign-manager-faiz-shakir-on-skewed-polls-corporate-media-conflicts/ …
      271 replies 241 retweets 879 likes
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    2. Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton 12 Jun 2019
      Replying to @NateSilver538 @fshakir

      Nate-since your in the numbers business and all, is your logic really to defend polls as accurate because “younger voters are harder to reach”? Wouldn’t it be reasonable to say it a poll samples less younger voters than older voters, that poll is going to have a more centrist

      27 replies 24 retweets 290 likes
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    5. Chris Kelly‏ @Chris_S_Kelly 12 Jun 2019
      Replying to @EndOfWorldRobot @alex_doser and

      And everybody knows that. But they are just as likely to oversample as to undersample. If more younger voters start to say they are going to vote than they will adjust for that. Won’t be perfect but it’s not just guessing.

      4 replies 0 retweets 15 likes
      Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton 12 Jun 2019
      Replying to @Chris_S_Kelly @alex_doser and

      Younger voters don’t have to “say they are going to vote”...there have been record youth turnout in 2016 and 2018. This nonsense that these polling companies can’t reach younger voters is nonsense. Somehow Emerson managed to do it—why can’t others

      9:37 AM - 12 Jun 2019
      • 9 Likes
      • Brak 🍑👅🐈 Lefty-Desiree McLeftyFace Slaps Otter Pops Thomas Jeremy Karen Martin Richard H 🌹 🌱 Miles "Reeunk" Robinson 🍞⬅️☭🌹 Anti-Establishment🔥
      4 replies 0 retweets 9 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton 12 Jun 2019
          Replying to @JordanChariton @Chris_S_Kelly and

          https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/may-national-poll-biden-back-in-the-lead-for-the-democratic-nomination …

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. Gaff-Flied‏ @FliedGaff 12 Jun 2019
          Replying to @JordanChariton @Chris_S_Kelly and

          Over half of respondents in that poll were over the age of 50. Emerson then weighted the results to align with a “2016 voter model of gender, age, region and ethnicity” like every other poll. But apparently it’s an “acceptable” poll because Bernie does well in it?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Bill Petti‏ @BillPetti 12 Jun 2019
          Replying to @JordanChariton @Chris_S_Kelly and

          It's not that they can't reach them, it's that they can't get a response rate from them that is proportional to their representation in the Census, hence the need for weighting. The Emerson poll's methodology notes that the data has been weighted. It's standard practice.

          1 reply 0 retweets 7 likes
        3. Diane Feinstein's Flip Phone‏ @ModerateCentaur 12 Jun 2019
          Replying to @BillPetti @JordanChariton and

          O you just weight it subjectively. Sounds like the process of gerrymandering in every state ruining democracy. Nate has missed the majority of close elections across the board. And its honestly gross the people who defend 300+ ppl as math and lick his boots.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Final Frame‏ @JMAC8219 13 Jun 2019
          Replying to @JordanChariton @Chris_S_Kelly and

          No there wasn't. You assume there was record turnout. Highest turnout was 18% for the youngest demo. That was achieved in 2008. 2018 was 14%. They have a large block but they aren't using their advantage.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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