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JordanChariton's profile
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Journalist @StatusCoup | TIPS via DM or info (at) Statuscoup dot com | Support IN-THE-FIELD Journalism http://statuscoup.com/join/  https://www.youtube.com/statuscoup 

New York, NY
statuscoup.com
Joined February 2010

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    1. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 15 May 2019

      The Young Turks did a really dumb segment suggesting that CNN had maliciously skewed a poll to downplay Bernie and boost Biden. This led to Nate Silver rightfully skewering them. As a past target of Nate’s sassy trolling, it pains me to say this, but I stand with Nate

      52 replies 18 retweets 126 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 15 May 2019

      Nate is mostly reliable when he’s talking about the pure mechanics of polling, models, and related methodological stuff. He gets dumb when he’s just opining pundit-style on random stuff

      23 replies 13 retweets 137 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Michael Tracey‏Verified account @mtracey 15 May 2019

      Objecting to how media frames or emphasizes polling is perfectly fair: i've done it many times, and will continue to do so. But making specious claims about the methodology because it doesn't produce the outcome you want is just stupid. Motivated reasoning in action

      8 replies 5 retweets 38 likes
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    4. Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton 15 May 2019
      Replying to @mtracey

      I can only speak for myself but it’s fairly black and white. The polls are undersampling voters under 40 (Bernie’s strongest demo) and oversampling 50+. Whatever the reason they do this is opinion—I doubt it’s sinister—My guess is laziness and also not adapting to NEW voting

      5 replies 2 retweets 14 likes
    5. Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton 15 May 2019
      Replying to @JordanChariton @mtracey

      Trends (not accurate to still say we’re representing traditional turnout for these age groups when the younger one in particular has has record turnout in 2016 and 2018). But what IS untoward and deceitful on the part of ALL of these pollsters (and the networks and papers) is

      3 replies 2 retweets 12 likes
    6. Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton 15 May 2019
      Replying to @JordanChariton @mtracey

      To fail to emphasize and put into context the unequal age distribution. Without it, the average person who doesn’t live and breathe this stuff day to day thinks “well it’s over Biden’s gonna win.”

      1 reply 2 retweets 8 likes
      Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton 15 May 2019
      Replying to @JordanChariton @mtracey

      If you look at the new Emerson College poll—it has Biden up by 8 points. Why the smaller lead than the other polls? Because only 53% of those they polled were over 50 (46 % polled under 50). Hence, when there’s a more equal age distribution, Biden is not up by 15-20 points.

      4:31 PM - 15 May 2019
      • 6 Retweets
      • 16 Likes
      • iiNova Brother Boone Blood forests 🌹 grasslands store carbon 🐿 🦇🐾🦉🐸🦎🐍 jd84jg967lgh23sd Christopher Martinez Beth Havens Not today JC Bringer of the Vibes 🧙‍♂️ Halton Hui
      3 replies 6 retweets 16 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton 15 May 2019
          Replying to @JordanChariton @mtracey

          By the way—this kind of polling doesn’t only hurt Bernie. Hurts Warren, Butigieg, Beto, and Harris.

          2 replies 1 retweet 13 likes
        3. Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton 15 May 2019
          Replying to @JordanChariton @mtracey

          https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/may-national-poll-biden-back-in-the-lead-for-the-democratic-nomination …

          1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Beth Havens‏ @msbhavens1 15 May 2019
          Replying to @JordanChariton @mtracey

          pulling the same Centrist Bullshit as 2016 and expecting a different outcome seems pretty ... foolish. (censored)

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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