The Young Turks did a really dumb segment suggesting that CNN had maliciously skewed a poll to downplay Bernie and boost Biden. This led to Nate Silver rightfully skewering them. As a past target of Nate’s sassy trolling, it pains me to say this, but I stand with Nate
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Nate is mostly reliable when he’s talking about the pure mechanics of polling, models, and related methodological stuff. He gets dumb when he’s just opining pundit-style on random stuff
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Replying to @mtracey
Not sure which poll TYT’s segment is referencing but I have reported previously on CNN’s polling that oversampled 50+ by a significant margin—which is deceptive considering 2016 & 2018 saw record number of young peoppe voting.
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Replying to @JordanChariton
CNN "weights" younger voters in the sample because they don't answer the phone at the same rates as older voters. It doesn't mean the poll is being maliciously skewed to harm Bernie. This whole "unskew the polls" business has always been ridiculous.
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Replying to @mtracey
Regardless of the reason CNN or others undersample younger voters—they don’t answer the phone or they simply don’t attempt to have an equal distribution—is irrelevant. If you’re using the poll to give the most accurate, contextual representation of the electorate...especially of
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Replying to @JordanChariton @mtracey
Dem primary contest (where the two top candidates have a clear contrast in terms of support among age groups)...you can’t have 60-70% of those polled be 50+ and simultaneously say it’s an accurate poll
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Replying to @JordanChariton @mtracey
At the VERY least, the pollsters should have it very clear, up front that the poll skews older (just like networks and papers should have made clear in 2016 superdelegates are separate from pledged delegates when lumping them together on screen)
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Replying to @JordanChariton
The poll didn't skew older. The number of respondents skewed older, and that's why they give greater "weight" to young respondents, to account for that very discrepancy.
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Like I said I didn’t watch TYT segment so not sure which CNN poll they are referencing. The one I reported on a few weeks ago polled less than 125 people under age of 40 (913 total polled)
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You're honestly asking if only 13% of the electorate under 50 votes? I know voter turnout is bad in the US, but it isnt THAT bad.
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End of conversation
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