The key to the whole Democratic Primary will be 2 things—African American vote & youth turn out. On the former, Biden’s #s may be strong now—but he has WAY MORE skeletons in his closet as far as racist policy & statements. 5% less African Americans came out for @HillaryClinton
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In 2016 than Obama 2012 EVEN WITH OBAMA PUSHING HER...So Biden hugging Obama for dear life to get black voters won’t necessarily guarantee him a major lopsided victory among black voters. Biden also has a little Trumpism in him as far as being allergic to apologizing. For Trump
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And mindless Republican voters that works—for Biden, he better have damn good explanations on being anti-busing/crime bill (said he didn’t regret in 2016), and a lot of other regressive and racist policies. The other thing—Bernie is building an unprecedented ground game
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Even bigger and better than Obama 2008–which has potential to do what Ocasio did...bring out A LOT of folks who haven’t been voting for years (majority of country doesn’t vote)
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Lastly, Bernie’s ground game advantage will help this time around to get young voters registered in time (2016 was not as impressive of a ground game). Of course, this doesn’t mean there won’t be election fraud—which is a whole other ballgame
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Jordan: To paraphrase a quote that
@jimmy_dore quotes periodically...if Nate's income$ is positively correlated with not understanding a reality, he will continue to not understand it.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Yep Trump ran anti establishment and won. These guys are far too confident way too early that Biden is the one. Fools.
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Nate Silver calls the establishment daddy every morning like a good boy!


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Trump voters picked him because of policy ... right.
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This guy sound like a campaign chair for Biden.. If you want to be predicting elections, you cant show bias,
@NateSilver538. Chose what you want, be in the business of election analytics or a political broker. - End of conversation
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