Excuse me for questioning the brilliant @NateSilver538–the one who missed on Trump and Sanders rise in 2016–but his premature declaration of Biden as in strongest position to win Dem nomination is wrong on many levels 1/1...https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/biden-is-way-out-in-front-second-place-is-anyones-guess/amp/?__twitter_impression=true …
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5) Sanders ground game is FAR superior than any other candidates. He is assembling an organizing army of volunteers. This is something pollsters don’t consider. This is how
@BarackObama originally outmaneuvered Hillary in 08.Show this thread -
Think Nate should take a break from excel sheets and do more traveling/taking the temperature!
Show this thread
End of conversation
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He has an aversion to saying he was wrong on ANYTHING. His ego knows no bounds. Which, since he seems incapable of concealing his overwhelming self-regard, makes him a disastrous candidate who can be baited easily into doubling down & saying stupid things. Trump will destroy him.
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And, 60+% say prog policy & consistency over the years very/extrmly important. Also, Biden's favorable/ unfavorable spread has declined over 7mo to it's LOWEST on wk of anncmnt. When people learn more abt Biden's record, it will not match their policy priorities...
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