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JordanChariton's profile
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Journalist @StatusCoup | TIPS via DM or info (at) Statuscoup dot com | Support IN-THE-FIELD Journalism http://statuscoup.com/join/  https://www.youtube.com/statuscoup 

New York, NY
statuscoup.com
Joined February 2010

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    1. Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton 1 May 2019

      Excuse me for questioning the brilliant @NateSilver538–the one who missed on Trump and Sanders rise in 2016–but his premature declaration of Biden as in strongest position to win Dem nomination is wrong on many levels 1/1...https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/biden-is-way-out-in-front-second-place-is-anyones-guess/amp/?__twitter_impression=true …

      10 replies 53 retweets 176 likes
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    2. Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton 1 May 2019

      A) Just about every poll he cites as credible undersampling 18-29 and 30-45 group (they all have the same excuse—they are representing how age groups tend to vote...that’s bogus considering more young people are coming out as shown in 2016/2018). By undersampling younger voters

      1 reply 13 retweets 58 likes
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    3. Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton 1 May 2019

      And oversampling 50+ voters, these polls are overstating Biden’s #s while minimizing Bernie’s support (Bernie may still be behind but not as much as the polls indicate) 2/2...

      1 reply 11 retweets 49 likes
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    4. Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton 1 May 2019

      2) Silver is assuming all of these candidates remain in the race all the way to Iowa and even past that to Super Tuesday. Good chance @SenGillibrand @CoryBooker @JulianCastro and other low-polling candidates drop out before South Carolina (maybe even @ewarren). I don’t see those

      1 reply 8 retweets 33 likes
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    5. Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton 1 May 2019

      Votes automatically going to Biden. Tulsi and Warren’s votes most likely would go to @BernieSanders 3/3..

      2 replies 7 retweets 35 likes
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    6. Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton 1 May 2019

      3) As shown in @cnn’s poll...majority polled said they might change their mind AND they knew very little of Biden’s record in the Senate (when @HillaryClinton entered the race in 2016 she had much higher popularity before her record was examined). You wait till Biden’s record

      1 reply 9 retweets 43 likes
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      Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton 1 May 2019

      Is introduced to PA, WI, MI, OH...I’m sure they will be LOVING this pro-NAFTA, TPP, deregulation champion 4/4

      12:01 PM - 1 May 2019
      • 6 Retweets
      • 42 Likes
      • ⏳Locally Grown Cucumber⌛#Unity4J Brother Boone Blood Григорий Джачино Lee Parinis Michael McCarron 🦕🦖🐉🐲 𝔸𝔼ℝ𝕀ℕ ℂℝ𝕌ℤ 🐲🐉🦖🦕 Defund the Police Darlene Knowles 🌹🌽 Halton Hui
      2 replies 6 retweets 42 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton 1 May 2019

          4) Biden CLEARLY has an aversion to saying he was wrong on policy. The man JUST said he doesn’t regret NAFTA. This will not end well for him in a growingly more progressive field.

          4 replies 6 retweets 44 likes
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        3. Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton 1 May 2019

          5) Sanders ground game is FAR superior than any other candidates. He is assembling an organizing army of volunteers. This is something pollsters don’t consider. This is how @BarackObama originally outmaneuvered Hillary in 08.

          2 replies 7 retweets 66 likes
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        4. Jordan‏Verified account @JordanChariton 1 May 2019

          Think Nate should take a break from excel sheets and do more traveling/taking the temperature!

          5 replies 7 retweets 55 likes
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        5. End of conversation
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