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I had never thought of this effect, involving citation of scientific papers, but, huge if true. Note the disturbingly high factor of 153!!https://ucsdnews.ucsd.edu/pressrelease/a-new-replication-crisis-research-that-is-less-likely-be-true-is-cited-more …
Now, consider that researchers who are cited more are considered more influential and have higher prestige. Is the modern environment set up to prestige the worst researchers?
The wrong people pushed to the top? Never
I always found number of citations a weird metric for prestige, because it counts "this paper is garbage [4]" as a positive vote.
the true embodiment of "no such thing as bad press" lol
You might like Range by @davideplummer he dives a bit into this actually!
To quote Nassim Taleb, "Productivity in academia is not measurable, neither in # of citations, nor # papers. It's a metric for rent seekers & administrators." Your observation on the current environment is right on
That's in line with my biases, that is i am very skeptical about findings in social sciences. Gender studies *cough*
When I was in academia this was widely known and regularly discussed in my circles. More surprising results are less likely to be published in big journals, to be cited, and to fail to replicate. Retraction rate is much higher too.
"Worst" is an oversimplification though. Because people just churning out the hundredth replication of a boring result are not the "best". You DO still want interesting/surprising results because, when true, they are the most informative.
stuff that doesn't get cited doesn't get replication attempts (genuine or otherwise)
Combined with the fact that in most places grants are more aimed towards innovative and new findings, and that there is little money incentive for replication studies, it seems that the academic world itself is aimed at unintentionally creating fake beliefs...?
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