I feel like you're mixing inflation-adjusted and non-inflation-adjusted measures. The inflation that the Fed tries to maintain is (as far as I can tell) a legacy artifact based on the financial tools available in our system.
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Replying to @ThatcherUlrich @Jonathan_Blow
If you inflation-adjust everything, you see some goods getting more expensive and some getting less, and wages being ~flat. You also see income skewing towards the top. So people on the negative side of that skew experience falling standard of living.
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Replying to @ThatcherUlrich
I don't disagree with any of that. But my point is that we try very hard to steer the average of the distribution along a course of low positive inflation. Since that's an average, some people win, some people lose. Maybe income inequality means that more people lose over time,
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Replying to @Jonathan_Blow @ThatcherUlrich
which is interesting and something I hadn't thought of.
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Replying to @Jonathan_Blow
The income skew could go the other way over time though (closer to equality).
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Replying to @ThatcherUlrich @Jonathan_Blow
The other thing is, what is the meaning of ecomonic progress? It should show up as longer healthier happier lives, after adjusting for inflation (i.e. the real standard of living improves, regardless of prices).
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Replying to @ThatcherUlrich @Jonathan_Blow
If tech and education are working, hopefully that is the result. World population continues to increase, along with life expectancy, so maybe some if that is working in aggregate.
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Replying to @ThatcherUlrich @Jonathan_Blow
This Planet Money episode describes how a bottle of coke retailed for 5 cents for 70 years, no average inflation, until after WW2. They cite the end of gold standard as start of consistent inflation:https://open.spotify.com/episode/4Uxu6nO4AuSgKJqvTrdQdH?si=slCD0wqBTaKL6AgRFKt4UQ …
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Interestingly, all the graphs of wage stagnation show the stagnation starting in the early 1970s, maybe not coincidentally the date of Bretton Woods II.
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