PA Thurs morning:
- Trump's lead down to 159k (was 657k Wed morning)
- Still about 484k mail ballots to count (from on/before Election Day) - incl some 100k in Philly
- Biden winning 77.5% of mail ballots counted so far
- If this continues, would easily pass Trump
Conversation
There are also PA mail ballots to be counted in some more rural, strong Trump areas ... but even in many of these places Biden is winning around 70% of mail ballots, just b/c Dems used them and GOP largely didn't
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As of late last night, PAs Bob Casey was still predicting Biden would win PA by 100k votes.
He's a close Biden ally, so there's that. But he has also won statewide races in PA since 1996
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Thank you! Do we have any idea as to timing for the counting of these?
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Where are you getting 100k in Philly? Their website says all but 4,000 votes are counted. I want to believe this but there's no hard data point and what does exist is to the contrary.
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I saw a county by county analysis this morning that showed exactly what was out, what kind of ballot and vote expectations. they are predicting a 160k-200k Biden win when all is said and done. Not much drama.
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