Modelling is not evidence. Modelling is done when evidence is lacking.
To base strategy on modelling which is based on a lack of evidence, when the evidence is clear and not acted on is to experiment on an entire population without its informed consent
@bowgroup
But that can be evaluated in real time as data comes in. There is no need to go for a higher risk strategy now.
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Now you're making risky assumptions! Those data are not reliable, data rarely is in such a dynamic situation and across such a large system. It's clear we're not going to change each other's mind & in a couple of years we might evaluate the effectiveness of this policy against
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alternatives but much of the doubting & noise in the media is NOTHING to do with policy details or outcomes. It's purely a vacuous media building hyperbole because that's all they know how to do.
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