TBH this seems like far & away the Tories' best chance of keeping the seat & gives @brexitparty_uk a dilemma. He's a Spartan, so if it had bn a General Election they probably wldn't hv wanted to run against him. But when he's bn ousted over expenses they may feel they have to runhttps://twitter.com/danbloom1/status/1142070154722971648 …
I imagine they won't take risks. It'll happen before the Oct deadline. Losing would be bad optics for them. Nigel seldom does high stakes in this scenario. May treat it as a local matter as he's supported right to recall for years