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JohnMelloy's profile
John Melloy
John Melloy
John Melloy
Verified account
@JohnMelloy

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John MelloyVerified account

@JohnMelloy

Senior Editor, Markets and Investing http://CNBC.com , CNBC PRO

cnbc.com/id/44356967
Joined October 2011

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    John Melloy‏Verified account @JohnMelloy 14 Aug 2019

    -A recession occurs, on average, 22 months following a 2-10 inversion. -The S&P 500 is up, on average, 12% one year after a 2-10 inversion. -It's not until about 18 months after an inversion when the stock market usually turns and posts negative returns. (Credit Suisse data)

    4:02 AM - 14 Aug 2019
    • 174 Retweets
    • 461 Likes
    • Certa Dose Owen Owen Owen Owen Owen Owen Owen Owen Owen Owen Shubham Patel Hsien eastmanweb Sasidhar Sean Harrington William Value Propositions
    33 replies 174 retweets 461 likes
      1. Andrew Dice Sorkin‏ @andydicesorkin 14 Aug 2019
        Replying to @JohnMelloy @MelissaLeeCNBC

        @realDonaldTrump should be outta office by then...

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. John Doss CFA, CPA‏ @JohnDoss1 14 Aug 2019
        Replying to @JohnMelloy @MelissaLeeCNBC

        Did you have $16 trillion in negative yielding bonds in the prior turns?

        1 reply 0 retweets 10 likes
      3. Jerry Jordan‏ @lighthousejerry 14 Aug 2019
        Replying to @JohnDoss1 @JohnMelloy @MelissaLeeCNBC

        And - was everyone watching for the inversion too ??

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Show replies
      1. New conversation
      2. Sven Henrich‏Verified account @NorthmanTrader 14 Aug 2019
        Replying to @JohnMelloy @MelissaLeeCNBC

        Sven Henrich Retweeted Carl Quintanilla

        Credit Suisse may want to talk to BAML:https://twitter.com/carlquintanilla/status/1161596118054187008?s=20 …

        Sven Henrich added,

        Carl QuintanillaVerified account @carlquintanilla
        BAML: “For the ten [2/10] inversions back to 1956, the S&P 500 topped out within approximately three months of the inversion six times (1956, 1959, 1965, 1973, 1980, and 2000). The S&P 500 took 11 to 22 months to peak after the other four inversions (1967, 1978, 1989, and 2005)
        Show this thread
        4 replies 1 retweet 30 likes
      3. Melissa Lee‏Verified account @MelissaLeeCNBC 14 Aug 2019
        Replying to @NorthmanTrader @JohnMelloy

        Funny how data yields such different conclusions

        2 replies 0 retweets 15 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. tipsey_russell‏ @tipsey_russell 14 Aug 2019
        Replying to @JohnMelloy

        pic.twitter.com/XLz5dhwFEW

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      2. PeakProsperity.com - Fed goes Brrrrrrr‏ @chrismartenson 14 Aug 2019
        Replying to @JohnMelloy

        "On average" the central banks have not printed like there's no tomorrow, driven interest rates into negative territory, and so badly deformed the ""markets"" that they now require double quote marks. Also equities in the US are wildly overvalued by most historical measures.

        1 reply 3 retweets 19 likes
      3. Ryan L‏ @RyanCLindo 14 Aug 2019
        Replying to @chrismartenson @JohnMelloy

        Hey Chris, thoughts on crypto currency as a hedge against the US government?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. FantasyManDan‏ @fantasymandan 14 Aug 2019
        Replying to @JohnMelloy

        Also, every time a bell rings an angel gets its wings. But they only get the wings 12 months later on average so it's not like ringing bells creates instant flying angels.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      2. James Bond‏ @Jbond069 14 Aug 2019
        Replying to @JohnMelloy @GekkoLeeson

        SP500 correction starts when short term rates colapse finishing the inversion of the term spreadpic.twitter.com/tMMHiC0yVf

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Kee Wei‏ @KeeWei111 14 Aug 2019
        Replying to @Jbond069 @JohnMelloy @GekkoLeeson

        Meaning Mkt correction in Sept when Fed cut rates???

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
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