John RomanVerified account

@JohnKRoman

I tweet about ideas: economics, crime and society |NORC | |Partner in crime: . Wit, wisdom and twaddle are my own.

Washington, DC
Joined July 2010
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  1. Pinned Tweet
    Apr 8

    Thread. If crime declines and fewer people are arrested and prosecuted, are those who still get arrested the ‘worst of the worst’? This idea makes sense and drives a lot of policymaking. But, it turns out, the ‘worst of the worst’ idea may be a myth. Read on… 1/n

    3 replies 3 retweets 11 likes
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  2. Retweeted
    23 hours ago

    25% of jail & prison inmates have opioid addiction, but less than 1% of jails & prisons offer FDA approved medications for treatment, even tho it improves behavior while in prison, reduces illicit drug use after & makes it more likely people will continue treatment over time.

    2 replies 6 retweets 12 likes
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  3. May 12

    Dunking on Philly is good social media fun. But here's the thing: Philly is the poorest big city in the US, with a huge disabled population. These problems are not solving themselves:

    3 retweets 5 likes
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  4. May 10

    Bravo . AW: New York City does not use “stop and frisk.” The biggest city in this country does not use “stop and frisk.” AG: That’s not true.

    Three very different perspectives on Philadelphia’s stop and frisk from mayoral candidates, perspectives with huge implications. Interesting work from ⁦⁩
    1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
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  5. May 9

    Mark Twain metaphorically summarizes my journalism career. "He wanted to be a cowboy. What is he today? Nothing but a university professor. Will he ever be a cowboy? It is hardly conceivable."

    Hey journalists- it's that time when my students are hearing about jobs & internships. I'd love share failure stories with them! To students it can seem like working reporters have never faced a failure: been rejected for a job, internship, etc! What's your ?
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  6. May 9

    Also in 2019: Kentucky Gov. Matt Bevin, who admitted he's exposed all nine of his children to chickenpox. “We found a neighbor that had it, and I went and made sure every one of them got it.

    A Kentucky teen who sued when he was banned from school for refusing a chickenpox vaccine now has the disease.
    1 retweet 1 like
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  7. May 8

    The idea that somehow we are at the end of the opioid crisis, rather than somewhere in the middle, is wrong. For instance, , "historically, every opioid epidemic has been followed by a stimulant epidemic."

    Elizabeth Warren is rolling out another policy proposal as part of her presidential campaign: what experts and advocates call the best federal proposal for the opioid epidemic.
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  8. May 6

    Had a boss early on who would say in his good southern drawl, "If you are gonna show 'em a bear, bring out the bear!" Words I've lived by.

    Academics: if you pose a question in your article title then answer it in the bloody abstract. The abstract isn’t a teaser or movie trailer.
    1 reply 2 retweets 5 likes
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  9. May 3

    Super interesting. I think needs a 2nd account @Justsaysinmalemice.

    I have found answers to the question “why are so many studies using male mice?” From the brilliant Dr. Katherine Johnston McMurray:
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    1 reply 8 likes
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  10. Retweeted
    May 3

    Adjusting for the aging population, the employment rate is now well above its prerecession level. Still well below the level of the late 1990s/early 2000s though. And with inflation still low, there's no obvious reason we can't get back there.

    3 replies 17 retweets 28 likes
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  11. May 3

    In grad school, I had the great fortune to take macro with Ned Gramlich right before he want onto the Fed Board. This wisdom of the day was that inflation spiked when unemployment went under 5%. It's a new world....

    We're not at maximum employment.
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  12. May 2

    Researcher to practitioner translator. Hypothesis = Guess Counterfactual = Not True/Lie Associated = Caused Correlated = Caused On the other hand = I don't know Synthetic = Made-up Weights = How I made it up Robust, regress, etc. = [crickets]

    2 retweets 8 likes
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  13. May 1

    And in the news today... nihilism.

    Replying to @chucktownregs
    indeed we must all submit to the insatiable demands of time, parading us slowly into the unfathomable depths of nothingness
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  14. Retweeted
    May 1

    An important piece by ⁦⁩. “The myth that social inequalities are caused by biological differences blames those marginalized by structural injustices for their own disadvantages...”

    3 retweets 5 likes
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  15. May 1

    So awesome. This series is perhaps my only successful intergenerational knowledge transfer...

    My favorite pieces are those that tell me something I did not realize I wanted to know, but of course I very much want to know. So here is on the life of Donald J. Sobol, creator of Encyclopedia Brown:
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  16. Apr 30

    I'm not defending this statement, I'm just saying with a 95th percentile degree of certainty that your average policymaker does not understand regression as well as Neil Gorsuch.

    Neil Gorsuch, who definitely understands regression
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    1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes
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  17. Apr 29

    Once upon a time, people thought there were two kinds of people...

    I would investigate the history of logistic regression but I am not sure how to probe it
    2 replies 2 likes
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  18. Apr 29

    I definitely think we should talk about shade deserts. From a crime perspective, the key is less disorganization + more prosocial mechanisms. That means the benefits of maintained places w/trees and shade overwhelm the costs of [slightly] reduced surveillance.

    That needs to change. Perhaps we should start talking about shade deserts, just as we talk about neighborhoods without grocery stores as food deserts. Or some other less corny way. Hope this story helps. 27/27
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  19. Retweeted
    Apr 27

    "Reshaping the Study of Recidivism: Exploring Variations in the Timing of Recidivism Following Release From Prison" by - Megan Denver in Criminal Justice Policy Review

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  20. Retweeted
    Apr 25

    Help us raise $ to support Criminal Justice majors Click on this link and scroll down to CJ:

    2 retweets 13 likes
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  21. Apr 25

    Half of suicide attempts occur with ten minutes of first having thoughts of suicide (onset of suicidal ideation). Even a locked gun lowers the risk.

    1 retweet 7 likes
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