May I suggest you read http://fullfact.org & Open Europe - unbiased, fact-based research, that predicts pain & uncertainty?
May I suggest you read him Philip Tetlock's research on the ability of pundits to forecast the future. https://twitter.com/TinaMcGugan/status/741742655256698881 …
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@TinaMcGugan Well said JC. True risk analysis would show greater risk for#Remain where tightening noose of EU certain 2 kill GBThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
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@TinaMcGugan Not pundits but actual scientists and markets point to economic risks -
You, of course, won't suffer any consequences, but real people will lose their jobs. Those who can least afford to.
End of conversation
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No need. We live in America, where pundits forecasted a quick demise to the Trump campaign.
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I suggest anyone who's to decide on
#Brexit should read economists, not psychologists.Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
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@TinaMcGugan mate works for Specialized steel company in Düsseldorf. Every one of his 30 Uk clients is against exit. Trade rules - 1 more reply
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@TinaMcGugan how about the current very real drop in £ value & loss of investment just at the possibility of exit?Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
If you've indeed read it you'll know that there ARE good forecasters, and Brexit 'radical skepticism' loses to good forecasts.
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sounds like a great read
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Some say US punditry to be humbled by this election. Wouldn't be humbled if fired by news outlets, but a treat to imagine.
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@TinaMcGugan I knew you were going to say that!Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
@TinaMcGugan I think the world's of Lao tzu are rather more appropriate than Tetlock'sThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
saying 'we have no idea what'll happen if we leave' is not forecasting the future. It's the opposite.
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@TinaMcGugan Yes. Our economists predicted nine of the last three recessions. ;)Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo -
The crux of it all is explained in 'Science's First Mistake' by Professor Ian Angell of LSE.
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aka CONfidence trick. Grandiose titles, sharp suits, haughtiness, language used etc. the theatre of illusions.
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