...then Trump was strong enough with his base to overcome the incumbency hurdle surrounding a (poll-wise) not very unpopular governor. If Rispone doesn't win, then he did not inspire enough support from his base in a deep red state...
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...which is the real test of whether or not the impeachment proceedings have an impact on his base. It is a far more tangible result than Kentucky or approval polling because 1) the GOP candidate in Louisiana has no record having never been a politician and...
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...2) the GOP candidate has made his personal similarities to Trump (not a politician, successful businessman, outsider, conservative, etc.) the focal point of the race.
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The people of Kentucky were able to flip to statewide Democratic seats and Bevin's margin of loss was not significant enough to be a "TRUMP COST BEVIN" moment. If you have to modify that to say "TRUMP COULDN'T SAVE BEVIN", then you have to acknowledge that Bevin needed saving.
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And if you're acknowledging that, then there is likely something Not Trump that cost him. Which, again, is why Louisiana is the better bellwether. Bevin had a record as governor he had to defend AS WELL AS any pros or cons that came from Trump.
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Rispone is solely a product of the Trump Era - a businessman and outsider who wants the ultimate chief executive role - and has modeled his campaign to represent that. That's going to be the key here: Is Trump a repeatable phenomenon and can Trump replicate himself in the states?
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Early voting is underway in Louisiana. The election is November 16. That will be the day we see if Trump is something you can replicate.
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Look at Calcasieu Parish, Lake Charles Area where Trump Rallied prior to election, no measurable impact on GOP VOTE TURNOUT in GOV Race. If you look at current EV numbers, something motivating DEM over GOP BASE Bigley, Trump and False Racist Criminal Justice ADS, IMO
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Or ya know JBE is just actually good for Louisiana. Surplus > Deficit
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@gop is a joke - Show replies
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