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JoePCunningham's profile
Joe Cunningham
Joe Cunningham
Joe Cunningham
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@JoePCunningham

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Joe CunninghamVerified account

@JoePCunningham

As seen on radio. I am the very definition of Family Entertainment. Batman enthusiast, teacher, and I like to cook (a lot). Senior editor at @RedState.

Cajun Country
kitchenpundit.substack.com
Joined December 2008

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    Joe Cunningham‏Verified account @JoePCunningham 6 Nov 2019

    I'm telling you, Kentucky is not a bellwether for Donald Trump. Louisiana is going to be. If you want to know how strong the President is, you look at Eddie Rispone's performance against incumbent Democrat John Bel Edwards. If Rispone wins...

    5:30 AM - 6 Nov 2019
    • 26 Retweets
    • 83 Likes
    • Howard Beale Julie Walker Dustin Reynolds Shon Vaughan 👾 Pamela Eric Moore Mexicoma Barbara Crafts
    15 replies 26 retweets 83 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Joe Cunningham‏Verified account @JoePCunningham 6 Nov 2019

        ...then Trump was strong enough with his base to overcome the incumbency hurdle surrounding a (poll-wise) not very unpopular governor. If Rispone doesn't win, then he did not inspire enough support from his base in a deep red state...

        1 reply 3 retweets 13 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Joe Cunningham‏Verified account @JoePCunningham 6 Nov 2019

        ...which is the real test of whether or not the impeachment proceedings have an impact on his base. It is a far more tangible result than Kentucky or approval polling because 1) the GOP candidate in Louisiana has no record having never been a politician and...

        2 replies 3 retweets 10 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Joe Cunningham‏Verified account @JoePCunningham 6 Nov 2019

        ...2) the GOP candidate has made his personal similarities to Trump (not a politician, successful businessman, outsider, conservative, etc.) the focal point of the race.

        1 reply 3 retweets 7 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Joe Cunningham‏Verified account @JoePCunningham 6 Nov 2019

        The people of Kentucky were able to flip to statewide Democratic seats and Bevin's margin of loss was not significant enough to be a "TRUMP COST BEVIN" moment. If you have to modify that to say "TRUMP COULDN'T SAVE BEVIN", then you have to acknowledge that Bevin needed saving.

        3 replies 5 retweets 12 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Joe Cunningham‏Verified account @JoePCunningham 6 Nov 2019

        And if you're acknowledging that, then there is likely something Not Trump that cost him. Which, again, is why Louisiana is the better bellwether. Bevin had a record as governor he had to defend AS WELL AS any pros or cons that came from Trump.

        1 reply 3 retweets 7 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Joe Cunningham‏Verified account @JoePCunningham 6 Nov 2019

        Rispone is solely a product of the Trump Era - a businessman and outsider who wants the ultimate chief executive role - and has modeled his campaign to represent that. That's going to be the key here: Is Trump a repeatable phenomenon and can Trump replicate himself in the states?

        3 replies 6 retweets 12 likes
        Show this thread
      8. Joe Cunningham‏Verified account @JoePCunningham 6 Nov 2019

        Early voting is underway in Louisiana. The election is November 16. That will be the day we see if Trump is something you can replicate.

        2 replies 5 retweets 15 likes
        Show this thread
      9. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. brian angelle‏ @BrianAngelle 6 Nov 2019
        Replying to @JoePCunningham

        Look at Calcasieu Parish, Lake Charles Area where Trump Rallied prior to election, no measurable impact on GOP VOTE TURNOUT in GOV Race. If you look at current EV numbers, something motivating DEM over GOP BASE Bigley, Trump and False Racist Criminal Justice ADS, IMO

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. BeardishGambino‏ @_bhg_ 6 Nov 2019
        Replying to @BrianAngelle @JoePCunningham

        Or ya know JBE is just actually good for Louisiana. Surplus > Deficit

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Show replies
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      2. TeHenderson‏ @TeHenderson14 6 Nov 2019
        Replying to @MaryStewart01 @JoePCunningham @KurtSchlichter

        @gop is a joke

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
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