Jesse L. Reynolds

@JesseLReynolds

Emmett / Frankel Fellow in Environmental Law & Policy, . Climate change, , (s), technology. Also Utrecht University.

The Netherlands & Los Angeles
Vrijeme pridruživanja: siječanj 2010.

Medijski sadržaj

  1. 26. sij
    Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    IPCC AR5 gives RCP6.0 a 95% confidence (i.e. very likely) of <3.1C warming. Sure, it is a bit old. Even the outlandish RCP8.5 is <4.8C at 95%. Am I wrong? Yes, we should prepare for improbable fat tail risks. adding from branched threads

  2. 16. sij

    The paper that (misleadingly, inaccurately) claimed that climate change could be cheaply solved just by planting trees received the 2nd most media attention of all scientific papers. Sigh.

  3. 13. sij

    Additionally, I (and perhaps others) have not given much attention to solar geoengineering's militarization because it seems unlikely. It is very poorly targeted with uncertain short term impacts. These characteristics make for poor weapons. 5/6

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  4. 13. sij

    2 Even the leading effort to address the author's central critique is, to the authors, unacceptable because it is funded by rich people and fails to sufficiently alter global power imbalances. 2/6

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  5. 13. sij

    interesting: "Uncertainty and the basis for confidence in solar research" from Kravitz & MacMartin in Nature Reviews Earth & Environment

  6. 7. sij

    "Progressive" organizations and advocates seek to prohibit discount stores where poor people buy inexpensive food there. The advocates' reason appears to be that they do not approve of the poor people's choice of food.

  7. 2. sij

    recommended: "False Humility Will Not Save the Planet ...the technological solutions that are truly effective for tackling our climate crisis are often exactly the ones that are denounced and opposed by climate activists"

  8. 31. pro 2019.

    The most striking (to me) of these great aerial photos of US land use changes are these of Detroit in 2013 and 2018, revealing how many houses have been demolished. The remaining houses are distant from one another, creating a new low-density city.

  9. 30. pro 2019.
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    Not my forecasts IPCC AR5: "estimates of the aggregate economic impact of climate change are relatively small but with a large downside risk" Below, from a review Each point is a study RCP6.0 likely = ~3C warming Global economy grows ~2%/year, compounded

  10. 30. pro 2019.

    From the original article, below. The absence of "acknowledg[ing] the backdrop of hard-won improvement" limits the appeal of the environmental left, in my assessment.

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  11. 29. pro 2019.

    "since modern humans emerged about 200,000 years ago, 2019 was probably the year in which children were least likely to die, adults were least likely to be illiterate and people were least likely to suffer excruciating & disfiguring diseases."

  12. 28. pro 2019.
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    The center of this image approximates world median preferences. source

  13. 28. pro 2019.

    An interesting 3-dimensional depiction of OECD political parties: -L-R is economic values -bottom-top is social values -red-green is populist to pluralist My observation: populism is socially conservative while spanning the economic spectrum via

  14. 21. pro 2019.

    Pres. Trump's popularity is the highest that it has been since March 2017. Although I believe that impeachment is the right thing to do, it will probably (slightly) work in Trump's favor.

  15. 19. pro 2019.
    Odgovor korisnicima
  16. 18. pro 2019.

    Adding that, despite Trump, Americans as a whole are relatively welcoming of people from other countries. Americans' generally low level of racism is underappreciated. (Reality is complicated, of course.) Other image is from

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  17. 18. pro 2019.

    Annual poll of Americans. Climate change is the top issue about which Republicans and Democrats disagree the most. Among Dems, blacks are much less concerned about it. Rejection of anthropogenic climate change is more common than I thought.

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  18. 17. pro 2019.
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    Why treat these as either/or? Solar geoengineering research is < 0.1% of public climate change research. The former could be greatly increased with negligible impact on the latter. After all, hoping that future emissions cuts will be enough is the real "roll of the dice."

  19. 12. pro 2019.

    "Reaching 1.5 °C and 2.0 °C global surface temperature targets using stratospheric aerosol "

  20. 12. pro 2019.

    Edith Brown Weiss on & intergenerational equity: "the need for scientific research is inherently part of an intergen. strategy, if only to assess the risks of proposed actions by others, and to be able to anticipate and respond to crises"

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