The one documented "super spreading" event (more than 8 people infected by one person) was highly unusual. A patient who lied about exposure and needed complex surgery, early on in outbreakpic.twitter.com/b0iUOQQK0z
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The one documented "super spreading" event (more than 8 people infected by one person) was highly unusual. A patient who lied about exposure and needed complex surgery, early on in outbreakpic.twitter.com/b0iUOQQK0z
The R0 -- the average number of people infected by each carrier -- is likely on its way down as quarantine and awareness grows, though it's still a bit early to say for sure what the figure ispic.twitter.com/cGURSImMG6
No-one who knows anything about this disease takes the current "live" count to be the true total number. It is simply the number who have tested positivepic.twitter.com/dsPLISgsOu
It is not helpful that China doesn't record multiple causes of death - something global health experts have long found frustrating. More people are likely dying from nCoV than officially declared. As a result, the mortality rate is hard to tell. But it's not SARS or MERS levelpic.twitter.com/igcvNiKS4R
Finally, remember it is still early days: "From an epidemiological data standpoint, the virus is still in its infancy days. The fast information and news flow has allowed the coverage to ramp up much faster than any other outbreak, which is a double-edged sword for the public."
There r still unknowns abt the Wuhan virus for any ‘Statistician who knows’ to come up w meaningful analysis. Till we can scientifically claim knowing enuf abt the virus to feel secure, we can’t trivialize it. Panic & precautions help to stop spread of infectious disease.
Thanks!
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