the math is kinda wrong fwiw @dsymetweets. Plot 1.22**n and 1.21**n. Notice that after another day or two with 1.21, your gain is erased. What you buy is not really fewer infections, but time.
(Also these are sigmoids not exp, so the slower rate does converge to the faster one)
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Will take a look at your spreadsheet later.
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Right. It's an approximation of what's actually been happening, eg a month of 1.25-1.3x (depending when you start), a few days of around 1.05x then ongoing 0.8-0.9x.
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