The same effect applies to a three phase model of suppression, see spreadsheet later in the thread. Rates 1.3/1.05/0.9 v 1.29/1.04/0.89 over each of three months.
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(The sigmoidal nature of epidemic curves is not particularly relevant in this case - in the UK only a small proportion of the population are getting infected during first wave. But adjust the model if you'd like?)
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